Saturday, 30 May 2009

2 pts win MIA'S BOY (Betfair SP) Stakes
1/2 pt win MARINE BOY (Betfair SP) Stakes
1/2 pt win MEDICEA SIDERA (Betfair SP) Stakes

Although his regular pilot is at Haydock, there is plenty to like about the chance of Mia's Boy here. For starters there is plenty of pace in this race and he is capable of producing his best in a true run race at this trip, on this ground. On the point of the latter, he clearly does not need give to produce his best and provided it's not old fashioned firm which it won't be,he'll be fine on it. He is undoubtedly capable of being fully competitive off a 2lb higher mark than last time, Egan is an interesting booking, and is almost certainly not using this as a stepping stone to his Hunt Cup entry - that is not the way they operate with this horse.

In a fascinating contest for the money on offer,Marine Boy and Medicea Sidera are worth small stakes at bigger prices.Marine Boy is worth another chance at this trip after running well over shorter last time in a race where the form looks solid. Medicea Sidera should have come on from her Lingfield run and should outrun her price in her customary prominent role.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win FURMIGADELAGIUSTA (Betfair SP)Stowe Family Law LLP Grand Cup

Halla San and Caracciola will be more interesting in the Northumberland Plate in a few weeks time - the former is definitely better suited by the big field scenario nowadays. There are question marks over the present well being of Yellowstone, and though Si Belle is very hard to weigh up, you are continually drawn to the two at the head of the market. The Godolphin horses have been running OK'ish over the last few days and one of their most successful transfer routes are horses from the Fabre yard; where Friston Forest originates from. He looked useful in Dubai and is interesting, but when it comes to splitting them Furmigadelagusta is the preferred option. He acts perfectly well on this ground, is still progressing at five, arrives here in peak form and is sure to go very close here.


1.5pts win HAMISH MCGONAGOLL 6.6/1(Betfair) Sporting Sprint
1.5pts win INTERNATIONALDEBUT 10/1(Betfair)Sporting Sprint

3 out of the first 4 that ran in the race here on Dante day re oppose and there is every reason to trust the form.Taking form from similar races is more sensible than trying to apply conditions form - Siren's Gift heads the market on the strength of his run behind Look Busy but has yet to win a handicap in 10 attempts. With the stable in fair form at the moment and conditions and track perfect, and running off a mark that he is competitive of, it all points for a bold showing from Hamish McGonagoll. Internationaldebut has been defying his pedigree and is turning into a serious proposition in these races. There is probably further improvement left and he should go close to repeating his C&D success.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win SEEK N'DESTROY 3.6/1 (Betfair) Sporting Stakes
1pt win FEELING FAB (Betfair SP) Sporting Stakes

Although holding no fancy entries.Seek N'Destroy appeals as the most likely amongst these to progress on to a career in listed/group company.Certainly, if that is the case he should be winning this off a rating of 84. There is plenty of pace on here but it's unnecessarily confusing matters by delving into possibilities of horses taking each other out and just let the race run it's course. Feeling Fab is another who runs from the front.The drop back to seven furlongs looks ideal and he should give a very good account of himself.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 23 May 2009

1.5pts EW GAN AMHRAHS 9/1 ( 3 firms) Investec Derby

On a day when the most interesting pre-Royal Ascot 3 y-r-o handicap has been spoilt by the ground, it's perhaps the time to get stuck into the Derby. It's highly significant that Murtagh may be on Rip Van Winkle; even if he eventually opts for one of the others it's testament to how difficult the choice is and raises doubts over the form of the Derrintstown( the runner up is certainly nothing out of the ordinary), and the Dante( it may be wise just to accept the usual rule about trials were they finish in a bunch). What it clearly does do is remind everyone that this years 2,000GNS did look a well up to standard renewal. With that in mind, and the combination of the current price allied to the question mark over the staminia limitations of the likeable winner Sea the Stars and Rip Van Winkle, you cannot help but focus in on Gan Amhrahs. On pedigree he is certain to stay the trip, his class is proven, and he hails from a yard that though always having the odd top class animal down the years,seems for some reason to be performing on an entirely new level over the past two or three years. He is sure to be in the shake up and is worth each-way support right now.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 16 May 2009

1.5pts win 9/1(Betfair) and 1.5pts place only 1.88/1(Betfair place only market)VIRTUAL Juddmonte Lockinge Stakes

Apart from a blip that occurred on firm ground at the Royal meeting, Virtual has progressed from race to race and arrives here with a realistic opportunity of taking this G1 on ground that is ideal. Despite re-opposing Paco's Boy on worse terms than last time, he'll have come on for the run and the combination of ground and trip should suit him better than the Hannon horse. Aqlaam, like Paco's Boy, is perhaps going to be one of these who wants 7f to produce his optimum, while Twice Over is becoming frustrating and costly to follow. It's difficult to see Virtaul being out of the three here and splitting stakes on win and place is the sensible option.

won + 15.5pts

Thursday, 14 May 2009

1 pt win CHEVETON 7.4/1 (Betfair) Tote Super 7 Stakes
1 pt win TOURNEDOS 7.8/1 (Betfair) Tote Super 7 Stakes
1 pt win EVERYMANFORHIMSELF 7/1 (Generally available) Tote Super 7 Stakes

There's room to take three aboard here.Cheveton knows how to get his head infront, is 111151 with Crowley in the saddle,arrives here in good form, and is a must inclusion. Off only a 2lb higher mark than when winning this last year,Tournedos is the most appealing of the quartet from his yard, having returned from a lay off to show that he retains every ounce of his ability. Everymanforhimself has run well on his two previous visits to this track, has come to form, and has proven to be competitive off his current mark.

Lost - 3 pts

1.5 pts win FREEMANTLE 7.6/1(Betfair) Totesport Dante Stakes
1.5 pts win REDWOOD 9/1(Betfair)Totesport Dante Stakes

With Crowded House perhaps being shorter than he should be, Kite Wood having moved to a set up that in recent times seems to have spoilt many a promising acquisition from other yards; the two that follow in the forecast are the most interesting. Although Freemantle hails from a yard that historically does not run it's number one Epsom hope in this event,the fact that Black Bear Island is the second string after a highly promising reappearance entitles him to a hell of a lot of respect. Furthermore, for those into the ' stables having lines on that one via other runners' line of thinking, then they should have Redwood covered through Drumbeat. Nevetheless, Barry Hills colt is a highly promising individual in his own right and this race is going to map out his future. Whatever, he is surely far off from reaching his ceiling and it will be disappointing if he fails to get involved here.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts win MIA'S BOY 7/1 (Generally available) Toteswinger Hambleton Stakes
1 pt win LOVELACE 21/1 (Betfair)Toteswinger Hambleton Stakes

Mias's Boy looked likely to carve out a career for himself in Group company after showing a striking turn of pace to get out of a pocket and win this last year. That's not been the case but he is clearly the same horse as he was at this time last year, arrives here in decent form and has excellent prospects of winning this again off a 5lb higher mark. Of those in double figs Lovelace catches the eye. He returns to handicap company off a 2lb higher mark than his last handicap run, when he narrowly failed to win the Bunbury Cup and should outrun his odds.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win KAYF ARAMIS 7/2 (Betfair) stakes

With rain forecast, plus with the day 1 results appearing to indicate that horses who ideally want some ease underfoot are not having their chances not compromised, animals who ideally like some ease, there are reasons to get stuck into Kayf Aramis here. A standing dish in these events at this course, he has been a revelation since moving to Venetia Williams, and the chances are that despite being a 7 year old, he'll show further improvement back on the level. To top it up, the jockey booking maximises confidence.

won + 7pts ( deducions for Nr's)

Saturday, 9 May 2009

3/4 pt win 23/1(Betfair) and 3/4 pt place only 4.3/1 (Betfair place only market) TOSHI Toteswinger Swinton Handicap Hdle
3/4 pt win 21/1 (Betfair) and 3/4 pt place only (Betfair place only SP) JO JO STAR Toreswinger Swinton Handicap Hurdle

These races are real puzzles at this time of the year and while it's probably sensible to just let them be, your being a killjoy if you don't get involved.

Toshi has been in the form of his life in the last few weeks with two solid performances. He indicates that there is further improvement remaining, and the helter skelter pace should suit him really well as he has shown a tendency to pull. You would want him hurdling more fluently than last time but at his current odds, there are enough positives to justify supporting him. Jo Jo Star is likewise in the form of his life at the moment. A blunder ruined his chance when he was still in with a shout in the race won by Toshi at Musselburgh, and it's a little difficult to back one and leave out the other.Sharp tracks suit him ideally and he is sure to be travelling eyecatchingly at some stage during the race, and has good prospects of being involved at the business end.

Jo Jo Star won + 16.9 pts

1pt win 18/1(Betfair) and 2pts place only (7/2 Betfair place only market) WE'LL COME Totesport Victoria Cup

There may be some justification in the criticism aimed at this gelding's willingness to put everything into his races. For one with plenty of ability and hailing from a yard that tends to get the maximum from their charges, you'd have expected him to have added to his sole success which came at Yarmouth two years ago. However, in fairness to him he has been plying his trade in fiercely competitive races where the contestants win in turn and no more. He's run cracking races on two of his three visits to this track including in this event last year. He's off a handicap rating that he's proved he is competitive off, is sure to be spot on, and it'll be interesting to see if Munro can conjure a little extra from him on his first time aboard. He will surely be involved and for that reason it's sensible to have more of the stake on the place only.

Lost - 3 pts

Friday, 8 May 2009

3pts win MISTER HARDY 13/2 (Generally available) Surrenda - Link Earl Grosvenor Stakes

Three out the the five horses that Fahey has run at this meeting so far have run really well and with a fair stall position, and Tylicki on board with his claim, Mister Hardy has strong prospects of taking this. In the form of his life, and off a 3lb higher mark, his chance is also helped by the 11 berth given to Huzzah, who was the one who caught the eye in this at the five day stage.

Won + 19.5pts

3pts win LIBEL LAW 13/2 (Generally available) Addleshaw Goddard Dee Stakes

In contrast with the rest of the field, Drumbeat has clear, stonewall solid credentials in an ordinary looking renewal of this derby trial. However, at around the 6/4 mark and with some unknowns in opposition, he could be worth taking on. There's alot of guesswork involved in these situations but the one that appeals most at his odds is Libel Law as we know that Michael Jarvis would not overface and risk ruining a lucrative year handicapping for an animal without some optimism.

Lost - 3 pts

Wednesday, 6 May 2009

1.5pts win 14.5/1(Betfair) and 1.5pts place only (Betfair place only SP) TOO MUCH TROUBLE Virgin Money Chester Vase

This colt is without doubt the value bet here. Although you can't read too much into him having a future G1 winner behind him when making a winning debut at Sandown last year, he appears to be held in very high regard and has proved his well being when trotting up on his reappearance from a 90 rated horse at Catterick. He would be half his present odds if associated with a yard that regularly produces classic middle distance colts and looks sure to run really well in a field that apart from Masterofthorse, could be a bit so so. For instance, the form of Above Average's Sandown classic trial, and Debussy's Blue Riband is nothing to be too scared of, while Sight Unseen is at this stage no more than a quite promising once raced maiden winner.

Lost - 3 pts

Tuesday, 5 May 2009

1.5pts win 15.5/1(Betfair) and 1.5pts place only (Betfair place only SP) HALLA SAN Totesport Chester Cup

The sorts that have been around for a while have won their fair share of Chester Cups and on average probably represent better value than your four year olds from the jazzy yards; the category in which the first three in the market come from. Halla San showed his well being over hurdles at Ayr recently and his run last year in the Northumberland Plate showed that he has the mettle for this sort of event.Off only a two pound higher mark here he is clearly not handicapped out of it and with Hanagan back aboard, who is 122 on him, he can atone for last years disappointing run by figuring in a big way here.

Placed( Betfair place SP 5/1) + 5.7 pts

Sunday, 3 May 2009

2pts win EXCLAMATION 7/1 (Betfair) Best Odds at Stan James Guaranteed Stakes
1 pt win THEBES 16/1 (Ladbrokes) (Best Odds at Stan James Guaranteed Stakes

The lightly raced and now gelded Exclamation is going to develop into more than a 100 rated handicapper and is impossible to get away from here. Evidently possessing plenty of physical scope for improvement he ran an ultra pleasing race in the Abernant on is reappearance and it will be disappointing if his career does not now go forward. Of those in double figures Thebes is worth support. He is still running off a competitive handicap rating, has won on the July course here, and arrives here in reasonable form.

Lost - 3 pts

2pts win THE MINIVER ROSE 4/1 (Betfair) Stan James Pretty Polly Stakes
1pt win TAKE THE HINT 6.2/1 (Betfair and Betdaq) Stan James Pretty Polly Stakes

A fascinating race. Pachattack is no standout, while Golden Stream's maiden victory was not a vintage Newmarket maiden and even though up against it on her next outing she was still a little disappointing. The Miniver Rose is much preferred and has stonewall solid claims. The form of her sales race will probably work out really well - the runner up was not disgraced in a well up to standard 2,000GNS yesterday - and she looks the one to beat here. Take The Hint is the most difficult runner to assess here and could be anything. She is worth a small cover bet.

Take the Hint won + 4pts

Saturday, 2 May 2009

2 pts win 11.5/1(Betfair) and 1 pt place only 3.2/1 (Betfair place only market)SEA THE STARS Stan James 2,000 GNS

It could pay to take the angle that the first impression of the Dewhurst being average was the right one and instead of trying to weigh up the finishing positions versus the potential of the runners in that race, looking elsewhere may be the better option. The fact that Murtagh has deserted Mastercrasftsman makes it easier to put a line through that one, while though it can be costly reading too much into trainers comments, you get the impression that it's more hope than confidence in the Stoute camp over Evasive's chance. Sea the Stars appeals as the interesting one. He beat a useful stable companion in the Beresford on ground that wasen't ideal. On pedigree he'll have come on an absolute ton through the winter, has conditions that will prove favourable, and would not be running if he wasen't on song.

Won + 26pts