Wednesday, 30 December 2009

3 pts win WILD PASSION Betfair SP Kathleen Clarke 80th Birthday Hurdle

The very last last bet of the year. This is a tricky little race and although Wild Passion's stable companion Nicanor could not conquer a similar length of time away from the racecourse; we are in an era when making a winning comeback after ridiculous long absences seems less rare than it once was and it just might be worth taking a chance with this gelding retains most of his ability. If that is the case and then he unquestionably possesses the ability to win this if in forward enough shape and the likely odds will adequately cater for all the doubts surrounding him.

Lost - 3 pts

Monday, 28 December 2009

3 pts win VOY POR USTEDES 8/1 (Betfair)Lexus Chase

Bets from yesterday on this have been voided on Betfair and on the new opened market Voy Por Ustedes is currently a full point longer.If this gelding lasts home here he will probably win as he possesses more raw ability than any of these as as being a thoroughly genuine and reliable sort. The consensus is that he won't get home and that is reflected in his odds. However, he could just be one of those that develops his staminia reserves as he gets older. We do know for sure that he now needs trips in excess of 2 mile to produce his beat; something that never use to be the case. On his only try at this trip he was just over eight lengths third behind Kauto Star and appeared visually not to truly see out the trip. However he was ridden very prominently that day and went some way to showing that the jury is still out staminia wise when staying on strongly to win over 2m 6f in heavy ground at Ascot in February. Needless to say, he'll be absolutely spot on for this and is worth chancing at the 8/1 available.

Lost - 3 pts
3 pts win WHATYOUTHINK 11/1 (Betfair) Knight Frank Novice Chase

This gelding was still in with a chance when coming down six out in the Drinmore and there is no knowing how he would have fared in relation to Pandorama and Alpha Ridge. He was a quality novice hurdler and progressed well in his second season over hurdles despite failing to win.He looked as though he would be a force in these events when winning at Thurles two outings ago and he is fully proven over this longer trip. From a value point of view he catches the eye at his current exchange odds though confidence would be increased if he shortened up a point or two between now and the off.

Lost - 3 pts

Sunday, 27 December 2009

2pts win DARK BEN 11/1 (Ladbrokes) William Hill Bonus 35 H'cap Chase
1pt win WEST END ROCKER 22/1(Tote and Betfair) William Hill Bonus 35 H'cap Chase

Plenty of niggly question marks over most of these, and Dark Ben, who sauntered home at Newcastle on his first outing in over 3 years is very hard to put a guage on. He won off a 98 that day, beating a moderate field, but the manner of the victory means that the performance is impossible to put an accurate marker on and a 14lb higher mark may not be enough to stop him against so so opponents, albeit a few pegs above the animals he faced last time. Of those further down the market, West End Rocker catches the eye. Alan King's runners performed Ok'ish on Boxing Day and the yard must surely get into full swing soon. West End Rocker needs to brush up his jumping but a repeat of his performance behind Shining Gale at Warwick in march would see him run close here.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 26 December 2009

3 pts place only TARTAK 9/1 (Betfair place only market)William Hill King George Chase

There is plenty of interest in finding some each way or place only value; and with so many having genuine chances of making the frame there is certainly no value on the two in single figs that follow Kauto Star in the market, and Tartak makes far more appeal. Irrespective of whether he would have beaten Deep Purple at Huntingdon without slipping when travelling like a winner, there should not be such a gap between them in the betting; the same applies to the difference in prices with him and Albertas Run who finished five lengths behind him in that event. Tartak looked back to his very best even though he was awkward at many of the obstacles, and if he does put in a slick round at a circuit that is ideal for him, he'll run a hell of a big race. That said, winning this is another matter and instead of using up a win part of the stake the 9/1 on the 1,2,3 in the Betfair place only market makes most appeal.

Lost - 3 pts

Friday, 11 December 2009

3 pts win RAZOR ROYALE 11.5/1(Betfair) Gold Cup

This gelding looked an exciting long term prospect when winning a novice hurdle here two years ago, and one who would go close in the novice events at the festivals before becoming a force in novice chase events the following season. He proved how dangerous it is to take an over familiar attitude to these things as he finished out of the first three in his remaining hurdle races that season including ending up being conclusively beaten in his chosen targets at Cheltenham and Aintree. His novice chase season was just Ok'ish highlighted by a victory at Bangor. Looking to be going nowhere after a moderate run on his debut in handicap company in September, he suddenly looked a different animal when winning here at the last meeting. He created a fine visual impression in a race that was many pegs below this quality wise - however, it's not just a case of the look of that performance, it's also the thought that he may just have started to realise some of that early long term potential from two seasons back. The drop back in trip is no real worry and the 11lb rise in his rating is fair as the animal he beat is a reasonably reliable yardstick. His yard is in decent enough form and at the odds available he is impossible to resist.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 5 December 2009

3 pts win LORUM LEADER 9/2(Generally available) London National

This gelding looked a useful addition to the marathon handicapping ranks when winning on his handicap debut at Market Rasen. The 8lb rise in the ratings does not seem unduly harsh - in fact, he's the only one in the field that could be a step ahead of the assessor. Conditions will be ideal and a similar performance today may be good enough against a field that have no secrets to hide.

Lost - 3 pts

Friday, 27 November 2009

2 pts win KILLYGLEN 8/1( 4 firms and exchanges) Hennessy Gold Cup
1 pt win WAR OF ATTRITION 41/1(Betfair) Hennessy Gold Cup

Killyglen looks ready-made for this event. Highly progressive, he ended last season beating Shining Gale authoritatively in the staying novice chase at Aintree. The runner up won at Haydock last week off 145, giving encouragement that Killyglen is fairly teated here on 154. He had a nice prep race for this at Carlisle and it will be surprising if he's not involved in a big way here.

War Of Attrition is not the force of old but his present mark takes that into account. He is still very useful though and he was travelling like a big danger in the Lexus last season until floundering in the testing conditions. He has run O'kish recently and is worth small support as he should outrun his odds and if there is to be a shock here, he is a likely one to cause it.

Lost - 3 pts

Sunday, 22 November 2009

3 pts win PALYSPO DE CREEK 7/1 (Betfair) Totesport Becher Chase

This six year old can bust the race trends by winning this. He was highly tried in France and arrives here relatively unexposed on the back of a fluent success in a Towcester novice hurdle. Connections have made no secret that they see him as a prospective National horse and he has a valuable event to his name in testing conditions over 3 mile at demanding Auteuil. It's a guess whether he is well handicapped or not and not every ex-French 6 year old chaser has tons of improvement left - however we can trust that they've got hold of one who they are sure will go forward and he appeals at his present exchange odds

Lost - 3 pts

Friday, 20 November 2009

3 pts win MADISON DU BERLAIS 8.8/1 (Betfair) Betfair Chase

Kauto Star was making a meal of it when parting with his rider at the last in this last year, and was all out to take the event two years ago. He must be worth taking on at his odds. His market rival Notre Pere comes here on the back of a heavy fall at Down Royal and you'd fancy him more at somewhere like Newbury than this new sharper chase track here.There are only three other possibles; Imperial Commander has genuine stamina concerns while Halcon Genelardais will surely find at least one of these too good. This leaves Madison Du Berlais who improved out of all recognition last year. He is sure to be spot on, will be suited by the track, will go in the ground, and all in all is standout value at his present odds.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win KAYF ARAMIS 7.6/1(Betfair) Timeform Betfair Fixed Brush H'cap Hdle

Diamond Harry was far from impressive in his Cheltenham prep race and though he ended up running a fine race in the Ballymore itself; that race is perhaps not the vintage renewal that it looked to be at the time. There is still a buzz surrounding him but he is definitely worth opposing off top weight here and the extremely likeable Kayf Aramis is a fascinating contender over these fixed brush obstacles. Admittedly, he lines up off a lifetime high of 142, but you get the feeling that he has not yet reached his ceiling and on ground that will be ideal, and on the back of a good first run for his third different trainer in a relatively short time span,he is worth getting stuck into at fairish odds.

Lost - 3 pts

1.5 pts win MALKO DE BEAUMONT 14/1 ( at least 2 firms) Betfair Racing Multiples H'cap Chase
1.5pt win TURPIN GREEN (Betfair SP) Betfair Racing Multiples H'cap Chase

Malko De Beamont is in his element in these conditions and has won twice at this venue. He hasen't shown an awful lot since winning here last December but you are half there if you act in these sort of conditions and with his recent form more than reflected in his odds and he makes plenty of appeal.

Turpin Green is the type that Sue and Harvey Smith may just be able to get something out of. They rekindled another Hemmings owned horse in Artic Jack and though Turpin Green looks a half hopeless case, he is absolutely thrown in on his best form, goes in the ground, and is capable of surprising.With him looking well and truly gone he's not likely to be nibbled at much and taking the Betfair SP is perhaps the best option.

Lost - 3 pts

Sunday, 15 November 2009

1.5 pts win MEDERMIT 12/1(Generally available) Greatwood H'cap Hdle
1.5 pts win ISSAQUAH 17/1 (Betfair)Greatwood H'cap Hdle

With a mediocre strike rate over hurdles it's hard to believe that Harry Tricker has suddenly improved a stone; which the figs from the Sandown race suggest he has.At around the 5/1 mark he can go unbacked as there are far better alternatives value wise here.

Medermitt carries a big weight but is a game and genuine type, who can tough it out. He comes up the hill here as he showed when narrowly failing to peg back Go Native in the Supreme Novices. It may not have been a vintage renewal of the event but most of those those what finished in the top half of the field him performed OK'ish afterwards and he is not handicapped out of it on 153.The testing ground will hold no fears and the runners from his yard have been performing well enough with genuine excuses for the ones that have run bad.It will be surprising if he's not spot on and there is every reason to believe that he can run close here.

Issaquah travelled tremendously well at Aintree and did everything right only to be caught in the last stride. The form was boosted soon after when the third and fifth in the race finished first and third in the valuable handicap hurdle at Haydock in May. She is 7lb higher here but gives the impression that there is further improvement left.She acts in testing conditions and she would not be sent down here in need of the run.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 14 November 2009

2 pts win GREAT ENDEAVOUR 7.6/1(Betfair) Jardine Lloyd Thompson H'cap Hdle
1 pt win GREEN MILE 31/1(Betfair) Jardine Lloyd Thompson H'cap Hdle

You can have a party finding negatives on most of these. Lie Forrit has been raised 9lb after exiting when travelling like a winner in a less competitive race than this at Aintree, Earth Planet ideally wants better ground, while more than one piece of evidence exists that Andytown does not properly get home over this sort of trip - he was handed the race by a faller in the pt to pt he won at this trip - , Powerstation is fully exposed,Time Electric is attempting an extra half mile and has not turned out the horse that he once promised to be, Le Bau Bai will have to transfer his improved chasing form back to hurdles, while Made In Japan has done all his winning on better ground and Macalliou's finds it hard to get his head in front.

Of those left Great Endeavour make plenty of appeal. OK,he has done all his winning in less competitive company and was well beaten when raised in grade at the festival and is only 3lb lower. However, that run was too bad to be true and he lines up here with his stable in good form and representing connections who have milked this meeting down the years.He has strong prospects of getting the trip, is proven in the ground, and is sure to have had this as a target since the end of last season. Of those at longer odds, Green Mile has been switching from code to code but gets this trip and goes on the ground. He ran well when 5th here at the festival and though off a 5lb higher mark here he seems a good few points longer than he ought to be and is worth support - that said you would want to see him shortening up over the next few hours.

lost - 3 pts

Friday, 13 November 2009

1.5 pts win NORTHERN ALLIANCE 13.5/1 (Betfair) Paddy Power Gold Cup H'cap Chase
1.5pts win TARTAK 18.5/1(Betfair) Paddy Power Gold Cup H'cap Chase

Although these things can backfire, if you side with the view that the rain today and tonight will come and the ground will be testing, then perhaps it's best to dabble in this now. The value has already gone with some of the soft ground horses but there will be others that will shorten over the course of today and tomorrow morning.

Northern Alliance has plenty going for him. He never had the run of the race when fourth in the Jewson but has a big pull in the weights with the winner Chapoturgeon and has no fears of very testing ground. The Pipe horse goes in the soft but that performance which was a stone in excess of anything else he's achieved came on drying ground. Northern Alliance comes here on the back of a lifetime best when winning the Kerry National in September. He's had time to be properly prepared for this since then and this race is sure to have been targeted.He is comfortable in the large field scenario and although many from his yard go off shorter than often warrants, he represents value at his present odds and must be supported right now.

Genuinely soft ground is not a necessity for Tartak. However, he is effective on it and in the big field setting it will help his jumping as he has a tendency to clout one or two. He is quality and with Planet of Sound, who finished infront of him in the Arkle but behind him at Aintree, coming out and winning off a mark of 152; it gives encouragement that he can be competitive of 154.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 7 November 2009

2 pts win CHARM SCHOOL 12.5/1 (Betfair) Totesport November H'cap
1 pt win FRISTON FOREST 49/1(Betfair) Totesport November H'cap

Charm School is worth one very last chance to show that he can take one of these. He has become a frustrating sort but there is no doubt that he possesses the raw ability to win this.His win over 11f at Kempton and is eyecatching run over 10f in his race at Newbury prior to the Cambridgeshire provide optimism that he can get this trip. He is also at home in a soft surface; though this of course heightens the staminia doubts. Lastly, he is from arguably the best yard in the country for these sort of events - it's also a yard in form and one that has won valubale handicaps with quirky types in the past.

The last time Friston Forest raced on a soft surface he came through cruising in the Northumberland Plate only to be run out of it in the later stages.Ok, he's disappointed since but returning from a break, back on this surface over a reduced trip - a combination that may prove ideal - and off a 1lb lower mark than Newcastle, he is worth a point at the odds available.

Charm School won + 23 pts

3 pts win MIA'S BOY 7/1 (Generally available) Bigger Odds at Totesport H'cap

After a losing run stretching to thirteen runs finally came good again in a fairly competitive conditions race here last time. That followed on from chasing home Gitando Hernando in a similar event at Wolverhampton.During that losing stretch he ran consistently well in the main and like all exposed types who in the main ply their trade in the competitive handicaps, things need to fall together.These types that get their head infront after a long wait tend to go in again soon after and he has a big chance of following up here on a mark only 2lb higher than when third in the Hunt Cup. The combination of trip and ground look ideal and it's a big plus lining up bang in form at this time of year.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win THE TOTHER ONE 15/2 ( 3 firms and exchanges) Badger Ales Trophy H'cap Chase

The Tother One has not seen a racecourse since coming down on his chasing debut last November. Like most from his yard, he looked a highly promising chasing prospect going into last season and the fact that he has been thrown into this on his second run over fences after an absence suggests that he has been pleasing connections and is spot on and strongly fancied. Despite the competitive nature of this event there is not really a hell of alot to be scared of. Some of these will have firm mid-season targets and will not be 100% fitness wise, while The Package is not fully straightforward and the race may not play to the strengths of Nenuphar Collonges. It's horrible when your a sucker for these hypish types and they get stuffed but The Tother One is hard to ignore here.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 31 October 2009

2 pts win SHOULHAVEHADTHAT 13.5/1 (Betfair) United House Gold Cup H'cap Chase
1pt win AIMIGAYLE 23/1 (Betfair) United House Gold Cup H'cap Chase

This is by far the most interesting betting race of the day and Shouldhavehadthat is the one that catches they eye.He showed improved form when beating subsequent festival winner Tricky Trister at Newbury on his first run for Henderson and later beat Poker de Sivola at the same venue.He looked sure to go on progressing from there but was disappointing on his last two starts after a break. He starts the season 6lb higher than his last winning mark and is lkely to be turned out spot on for this.

Aimigayle shaped well on her reappearance over hurdles and won a valuable Newbury chase in March on the back of a couple if runs over the smaller obstacles.She has clearly been targeted at this and has a better chance than her odds suggest and is worth a point.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 24 October 2009

3 pts win MONET'S GARDEN 14/1 (Betfair) Tote ten to Follow Old Roan Chase

Tidal Bay begins his third season over fences and with the yard already in better shape than it was at most stages last season,a poor run could signal that the best has been seen of him. Tartak is highly promising and has strong prospects but is priced up accordingly, while Don't Push Me and Kicks for Free have far from convincing profiles over fences.

As a result there is some value to be found with previous winner Monet's Garden. Though now 11 years old,there is every reason to believe that he will be competitive here. Greystoke tend to retire their stalwarts at the right time and Monet's Garden would not have been kept in training for the purpose of making up the number in his races.He's only run twice since disappointing in this last year but will be in absolute peak condition for this and could cause a minor surprise.The Geraghty booking also increases confidence.

Won + 40 pts

2 pts win DRILL SERGEANT 16/1(Generally available) Totesport St Simon Stakes
1 pt win ILLUSTRIOUS BLUE 27/1(Betfair) Totesport St Simon Stakes

There are niggly doubts hanging over all of the runners in single figs; not least the market leader Harbinger, and it's tempting to take a couple of the longer shots aboard.

Drill Sergeant has his 18th run of the year but holds his form well despite the odd poor run. Being completely exposed to the the handicapper he'll win one of those events in turn and his type have just as much chance of success in Listed or G3 company. He ran Choc A Block, who is nearly half his price today, to a narrow margin in a listed event last time, and he also chased home Askar Tau in the Lonsdale back in August. It is just incidental that most of his racing has come on top of the ground as he does have form in the book with ease in the ground. There is plenty enough to like about him at the odds available.

Illustrious Blue is another who will not be hindered by the easy ground. He has enough pieces of form in the book to give him a bit of a chance here and has already won in this grade at Goodwood in July.Definitely worth a point.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 17 October 2009

3 pts win NEVER ON A SUNDAY 8/1(Betfair) Emirates Airline Champion Stakes

Fame and Glory's presence at least gives a little respectability to what without him would be a shocking renewal of this race. However,it is highly unlikely that they would have run him so quick on the back of a hard race if this was halfway through the season and he creates plenty of value elsewhere. Sariska is certainly beatable , while the unexposed Tregoning horse is plenty short enough. This leaves Never On A Sunday who if repeating his Royal Ascot run behind Vision D'Etat and Tartan Bearer, would go close to taking this.He has since disappointed on his only run behind Goldikova but arrives here fresh and is worth getting stuck into.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win SWEETHEART 18/1 (Hills,Coral and exchanges) Totesport Cesarewitch

A likeable sort under both codes, Sweetheart possesses more reserves of staminia than most as she showed when winning convincingly over a three furlongs longer than this at Goodwood. The shorter trip is more of a concern than the 8lb higher rating, but that concern is more from the fact that there would have been double the question marks over the runners over 2m 5f than this trip as opposed to whether she is fully in her element at 2m2f, and in todays scenario there is certainly going to be enough demands on staminia to suit her. In a race where you could take aboard half a dozen and see them all unsighted she could prove worth going all in on.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 10 October 2009

1.5 pts win PALACE MOON 21/1 (Betfair) Willmott Dixon Bengough Memorial Stakes
1.5 pts win AWINNERSGAME 23/1(Betfair) Willmot Dixon Bengough Memorial Stakes

Lightly raced and clearly difficult to train, Palace Moon looked as though he'd be a force in group company when winning a Doncaster handicap on his seasonal debut but things have been a bit stop start since. However, apart from last time he's not run a poor race and running here on a surface that connections have always believed will give him the best opportunity to produce his optimum, he catches the eye at odds which of course have been helped by that last run.

Awinnersgame has also flattered to deceive in the past and early in his career you would have thought that he'd have had a more lucrative time by now than things have turned out.Ok, this is the highest company he deserves to be pitted against but he does have bits of form that suggest that a race of this grade could fall his way and he's worth a go at the price.

Lost - 3 pts

Friday, 2 October 2009

2 pts win VISION D'ETAT 17.5/1 (Betfair) Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe
1 pt win STACELITA 26/1 (Betfair) Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe

Too many great horses have been beaten in this down the years to not want to take on Sea the Stars at odds on. He's been on the go since the first weekend in May, and runs over a trip that may not be his optimim. Fame and Glory is a poweful galloper, and his sort can be flattered at the Curragh, while Conduit, though extremely likeable, dosen't have a hell of alot more in the book than Vision D'Etat, who is twice his price. The latter's connections considered that the ground was not soft enough when he was 5th here last year on official good to soft. However, he has since shown that he acts on anything, has had an ideal preparation,and though he'd not be a vintage winer of this, the real Sea The Stars not turning up would put him bang in the picture and he's worth support. To back Stacelita, you have to have to trust that connections left a good deal to work on from her last race. The visual impression that she created previously was that of a filly out the top drawer and though despite claims from her trainer that she'll be better on the forecast good ground; confidence would be higher if the rain came.Nevertheless,these doubts are reflected in her present exchange odds and she warrants a small bet.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 26 September 2009

2pts win BIG NOISE 20/1 ( 2 firms and exchanges) Chalenge Cup
1 pt win SONNY RED 54/1 (Betfair) Challenge Cup

Big Noise ran really well in a similar race here last July and looked the type who would have won one of these events by now. He disappointed in this last year but lines up here today on the back of a very light campaign, and from an encouraging run at Doncaster last time. He is in with a realistic chance and is worth a go at his odds.

In another existence Sonny Red chased home Adagio in the Craven. In recent times he's been campaigned almost exclusively over sprint trips and has been acquitting himself well.He ran a cracker last week in the Ayr Gold Cup and off the same mark here, he is worth risking a point on, on a rare return to this sort of trip.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 19 September 2009

1.5pts win EVERYMANFORHIMSELF 31/1(Betfair) Wiliam Hill Ayr Gold Cup
1.5pts win ZIDANE 26/1 (Betfair)William Hill Ayr Gold Cup

Running off the same mark as when arguably producing a career best in the Portland last week, Everymanforhimself lines up here with stronger claims than most,and certainly no less than nearly all of them at half his odds.Year in year out the predicted draw bias fools in these races and it's probably best to leave that factor aside and that's what is hopefully making him a bit too longer than he should be on the exchanges at the moment.

Zidane does not win too often nowadays and it was encouraging that he got his head back in front two outings ago. Even the anti-profile brigade amongst us cannot deny that animals with this sort of profile do tend to win again within the next few outings and there is no doubting that he has the raw ability to run these close, granted of course, that he gets the gaps opening from the far rail.

Lost - 3 pts

1.5pts win CHARM SCHOOL 15.5/1(Betfair) John Smith's Stakes
1.5pts win CILL RIALIAG 14/1 ( Betfair) John Smith's Stakes

Plenty to consider here and well worth taking a chance with a couple of the longer priced contenders.

Charm School may have his quirks but in the past Gosden has produced the goods with these ' soon to get rid if' types, and arriving here on the back of his first win since his racecourse debut in March, he is mighty interesting at the odds available. He's still a relatively unexposed sort, particularly over this sort of trip, so we cannot be sure that the handicapper has him covered. The one niggling doubt is that he may ideally want to get his toe in.

Cill Rialaig knows how to get her head infront and beat a reliable yardstick at Epsom last time who has since followed up. She's the type to keep ahead of the handicapper and although this event if far more competitive than the ones that she's been successful in,her price more than compensates for the doubts.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 12 September 2009

1.5 pts win VISCOUNT NELSON 4.1/1 (Betfair) DFS Champagne Stakes
1.5 pts win LAYALI AL ANDALUS 5.8/1(Betfair) DFS Champagne Stakes

Poet’s Voice ran a cracker in what is looking a good renewal of the Acomb; however he’s up against couple who are almost certainly better than the ratings they’ve returned and the way this is priced up there is an irresistible temptation to take him on.

Rock of Gibraltar excepted; Ballydoyle tend to run one of their support division in this. However, such is their strength that Viscount Nelson, who could end up being literally anything from a humble listed performer to a G1 horse, is worth taking aboard at the price. Similar remarks could also apply to Layali Al Andalus and he too is worth a guess at the price.

Lost - 3 pts

1.5 pts win JOHANNES (Betfair) Ladbrokes Portland
1.5 pts win PAVERSHOOZ 8/1 (Generally available) Ladbrokes Portland

Johannes is up a further 7lb from his latest victory but is on a roll at the moment and has become ultra reliable in one of the most unpredictable spheres since moving to Fahey. The one niggling doubt is that his record indicates that he’d ideally want an extra half furlong.

Pavershooz has been running out of his skin this year. He’s had a break since his latest outing and has clearly been targeted at this and has fair prospects of defying a lifetime high mark.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win MONITOR CLOSELY 4.6/1 (Betfair) Ladbrokes St Leger

In a rock bottom renewal it may pay to accept he visual impression given by this colt at York that the extra couple of furlongs here will not be a negative. He’s already outrun his pedigree staminia wise and in such situations is probably best to with what you see. Despite having the run of the race at York, he appeared to win fair and square and the form is as good as anything on offer here.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts win WE’LL COME 5.8/1 (Betfair) Doncaster Premier Inn Table H’cap
1pt win TARTAN GIGHA 20/1 (Betfair) Doncaster Premier Inn Table H’cap

After all this time they’ve finally found the tactics that are the key to We’ll Come and this gelding has fine prospects of taking this event. Admittedly, he’s on a lifetime high of 108 but you have an inkling that he has the raw ability of a genuine G3 performer and he must go close here.

On the book the pull in the weights will not be sufficient for Tartan Gigha to turnaround Ascot form with We’ll Come. However, though campaigned aggressively as is typical from one from his yard and appears to be covered by the handicapper, he appeals on the grounds of his price allied to the fact that one or two below par performances from others will put him bang in the picture.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 5 September 2009

2 pts win MAIN AIM 5.4/1 (Betfair) Betfred Sprint Cup
1 pt win JJ THE JET PLANE 16/1 (Generally available) Betfred Sprint Cup

Main Aim proved in the July Cup that he belongs at this level.There appears genuine excuses for his disappointing run at Goodwood behind Finjaan and we can trust that he has since pleased connections for him to be allowed take his chance here.He ideally wants some give and with conditions turning in his favour, he can reverse the Newmarket form with the Noseda filly.

JJ The Jet Plane finished third at Newmarket. He came over here at the beginning of the season with a big reputation and has shown that he is up to this grade.He has won on easy ground in South Africa but it appeared that his former trainer considered him ideally suited by a sound surface. Nevertheless, we can't be sure about ground issues and now officially in the care of Hannon, with Jim Crowley aboard, he is too tempting too ignore at his present odds.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 29 August 2009

1.5pts win TAMAGIN 9/2(Generally available) Bet 365 Hopeful Stakes
1.5pts win SWISS DIVA 8/1 (Generally available) Bet 365 Hopeful Stakes

A fascinating event. After he'd won at Doncaster it would have have been safe to assume that by this time of the season Palace Moon would have been higher up the ladder. He'd clearly encountered some sort of setback after that run and a couple of others make more appeal here.

Tamagin ran a blinder off top weight in the Great St Wilfred and a similar run will probably be good enough to take this. Swiss Diva has been progressing nicely, can be trusted to run her race, and is irresistible at the odds presently available.

Lost - 3pts

Friday, 21 August 2009

0.75 pts EW AKMAL 14/1 ( Generally available) Skybet Melrose Stakes
0.75 pts EW TOO MUCH TROUBLE 25/1 (Generally available) Skybet Melrose Stakes

Akmal should appreciate this return to 1m6f and has a useful bit of C&D form to boast of back in July.Off a 5lb higher mark here, he catches the eye at present odds.Too Much Trouble is worth one very last chance - he kept hanging in last time when brought out to try and make headway on the leaders but given the nature of the Goodwood track, he can be given the benefit of the doubt.

Akmal won + 11.6 pts

1.5 pts EW BATTLE PAINT 16/1 (Generally available) Skybet City of York Stakes

Those at the front end of the market don't entirely convince and in a race with a funny shape about it, this lightly raced five year old is worth chancing. He undoubtedly possesses the raw ability to go close in this and has run well when fresh in the past. With him seemingly only taking a limited amount of racing it's highly unlikely that connections would waste a run short of peak.

Lost - 3 pts

Thursday, 20 August 2009

3 pts win RODRIGO DE TORRES (Betfair SP) St Leger Yearling Stakes

This race has thrown up some high class performers down the years but this is no more than an average renewal and if the field contains something that’s really going to make a name for himself, then it’s likely to be this colt. Admittedly, it’s a case of taking style over substance as he only beat an ordinary field here last time – however, his manner of victory was highly taking and there’s a fair chance that he will be up to winning this.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win LADY OF THE DESERT 2/1 (Betfair) Jaguar Car Lowther Stakes

This filly has stonewall solid form in the context of this event and with limited dangers is fairly priced to emulate her dam here. Of the others the Jarvis horse seemingly arrived at Goodwood with a big reputation and won nicely in a race where the form looks to be working out OK, - however, even those of us who are not taken in by trends will realise that the group juvenile events for fillies over this distance tend to be won by something with more experience. The same remark applies to the Beckett horse while there appears to be a cloud hanging over Rose Blossom’s yard, and the Bolger filly, though likely to run well, will find one or two too good.

won + 5.70

2pts win ACROSTIC 5.6/1 (Betfair)Addleshaw Goddard Stakes
1pt win MIA’S BOY 19/1(Betfair) Addleshaw Goddard stakes

Acrostic just found the nine furlongs too far here earlier in the year and has since ran two cracking races returned to this trip, winning at Sandown, and finishing sixth when clearly disadvantaged by a bad draw at Goodwood in what was the second most competitive mile handicap so far this season. He runs off the same rating here and provided he is in the same sort of condition he will take all the beating.

It’s now eleven outings since Mia’s Boy was last successful. He’s still running consistently well and remains handicapped to the hilt. He runs well here though, and someday soon things will fall his way and he’ll get back on the winners circle. Certainly worth a point at the price.

Lost - 3 pts

Wednesday, 19 August 2009

2 pts win WARRINGAH 9.5/1(Exchanges)Totesport Ebor
1 pt win HITS ONLY VIC 20/1 (4 firms and Exchanges) Totesport Ebor

Apart from those on at much longer odds, Changingtheguard can be let go off as he's now too short to entertain; Red Jade has to prove himself over this trip,while of those at fancy odds there is nothing that you get too excited over.You are left zoning in on the race at Goodwood where Maneyriverstocross beat Precision Break, and the Hits Only Vic, Warringhah, Magicalmysterytour race here in July. The latter race is preferred and Warringhah, who made himself a target from a long,long way out in that race, has since confirmed how improved he now is, is fancied to come out best this time. He looks the type who'll be good enough to come back here for the Yorkshire Cup next May and in an ordinary renewal of this race can defy top weight. Hits Only Vic surprised many when wining that race as going into that he appeared to been grabbed by the handicapper

Lost - 3 pts

Tuesday, 18 August 2009

1.5 pts win SEA LORD 21/1 (Betfair) Racing UK Acomb Stakes
1.5 pts win EMERALD COMMANDER 22/1 (Betfair) Racing UK Acomb Stakes

A fascinating renewal as always and worth taking a chance with a couple of longshots as Poets Voice price is restricted due to the visual impression he created last time along with the current stable form; Mata Keranjang has solid form but the Cole horses tend to reach their ceiling early in their career nowadays,and with Elusive Pimpernel you do not afford the Dunlop horses with the same respect as was once the case.

The form of Sea Lord's Ascot victory is starting to look OK and the yard has it's fair share of success in these sort of events to give encouragement that he's not just a runner of convenience for his owner.Emerald Commander looked very,very useful last time - there is a worry about the ground but at his odds he is worth chancing.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win HARBINGER 2/1 (Ladbrokes) Ladbrokes Great Voltigeur Stakes

Alwaary's form may be the most solid but looking at in from the angle that he was over two lengths behind Ask puts the form into perspective and at marginally shorter odds it's hard to get away from the highly exciting Harbinger who is the one horse in this field who could turn out to be up to winning properly contested G 1 middle distance events.

Lost - 3 pts

1.5 pts win WILLIAM BLAKE (Betfair SP) Patrington Haven Leisure Park Stakes
1.5 pts win MULL OF KILLOUGH (Betfair SP) Patrington Haven Leisure Park Stakes

There is no 'could be group class animal' here this year and this is the ideal opportunity for William Blake to get back in the winers enclosure. He's not the type who is going to be done any favours by the handicapper but his type do win in turn and there is not an awful lot to fear here. Mull of Killough has some form with the right sort of horses, is open to further improvement and is worth chancing stepped up in trip which on pedigree he's not certain to appreciate.

MO Killough NR, W Blake lost - 1.5pts

Saturday, 8 August 2009

1.5pts win 13.5/1(Betfair) 1.5pts place only (Betfair place only SP) SUMMER GOLD Totescoop Stakes

This is just the type of mare that Eric Alston excels with and on the back of a lifetime best at York, she has a serious chance of only a 4lb higher mark and stands out as the value call. Admittedly, the field she beat last time was just Ok'ish - however Dancourt beat a limited field last time, Sweet Lighting does just not win enough,while the form of Libel Laws's last race is typically small fields conditions race iffy. In all, an average race for the prize money on offer and it'll be disappointing if Summer Gold does not at least reach the four and as the Betfair place market will still cover the first four in the event of further non-runners, separate win and place bets are the best call.

Lost - 3 pts

Friday, 31 July 2009

3 pts win HEAVEN SENT 7/1(Generally available) Blue Square Nassau Stakes

Heaven Sent ran a blinder in a hotter renewal of this last year and there is not a hell of alot to really fear here. She arrives here better than ever after running a lifetime best at Newmarket. Hopefully, the ground will remain good for Midday to take her chance because she holds up the market but does not have as strong as claims as the Stoute filly. Rainbow Views is not suddenly going turn back into a dominant force again and she too can be passed over. She is now just one of many high class fillies around but no more.Ground changing rain would not only take away the filly that provides value elsewhere but would be a slight concern to Heaven Sent if it turned very soft but the best call is perhaps to get stuck in now and just take the hit if Midday is taken out.

Lost - 3 pts

3pts win MARKAB 10/1 (Generally available) Blue Square Stewards Cup

Markab ran a cracker in the Wokingham when best of the group on the near side and off the same mark here, there is no reason why he shouldn't figure again as his trainer, who nowadays has all of his notable successes with sprinters, has clearly targeted this race with him. He is versatile regarding underfoot conditions and granted the fortune that he races with the 'right'horses he'll be bang there and is worth chancing with full win stakes.

Lost - 3 pts

Thursday, 30 July 2009

1.5pts win ACROSTIC 7/1 (Generally available) Totesport Mile
0.75pts win (Betfair SP) and 0.75pts place only LOVELACE (Betfair place only SP) Totesport Mile

On what will be his ninth racecourse appearance there is every reason to believe that Acrostic has yet to reach the ceiling of his ability and Lemaire retains the mount after he put up a career best when winning a similarly competitive Sandown handicap last time. Off a 6lb higher mark, he has good prospects of confirming the form with those that finished behind him, and with a piece of soft ground form in the book from his first handicap appearance,the ease in the ground should not deter.

Lovelace has run well enough off this sort of mark to suggest he can take one of these granted things going his way. Spencer has a successful history partnering him and he's fully proven with give underfoot. Appeals as the type to give a very good account of himself and an attractive win and place proposition.

Lost - 3 pts

Wednesday, 29 July 2009

2 pts win ROMAN REPUBLIC 6/1 (Generally available) Summer Vase H'cap
1 pt win CHANGING THE GUARD 24/1(Exchanges) Summer Vase H'cap

As in the past, that ten furlong 3 y-r-o handicap at the Newmarket July fixture looks as though it's going to work out really OK with the winner now competitively settled in Group company. Roman Republic ran a cracker to chase home the winner that day, showing improved form stepped up in trip and a 3lb rise in the ratings looks fair enough. He seems sure to give a very good account of himself. The winner's stable companion, Changing The Guard was less than three lengths behind, running on. He is 3lb better off and should not be too far behind the Johnston horse again. He had previously caused a surprise when stepped up in trip at York and now seems to be going places.

Roman Republic won + 11 pts

3 pts win SCHIAPARELLI ( Betfair SP) Coutts Goodwood Cup

This former German Derby winner has always been a very genuine and likeable animal in the past who without doubt possesses the ability to take this and with the liklehood strong that he'll get the trip,has fine prospects of winning this ordinary looking event provided that the conditions are suitable for him to be allowed to line up..He was extremely popular among the small racing community in his native country when based with Peter Schiergen and the German racing press had been looking forward to him lining up for the Deutschlandpreis at Düsseldorf 10 days ago; a race he won in 2007.Perhaps the decision not to go was down to the race coming too soon after Newmarket, but irrespective of that he is a much needed and interesting addition to this sort of race.

won 1.56/1 + 4.45 pts

Tuesday, 28 July 2009

0.75pts win (Betfair SP) 0.75pts place only (Betfair place only SP) TOO MUCH TROUBLE Racing UK Heritage H'cap
0.75pts win (Betfair SP) 0.75pts place only( Betfair place only SP) FUNDAY Racing UK Heritage H'cap

A real conundrum and at a big price Too Much Trouble is worth one more chance to produce something despite not having the ideal sort of profile for this sort of event. He seems to be in a rut at the moment but Channon has won valuable handicaps in the past with horses that seems to be going nowhere and there was support for him prior to an Oki'sh run at the Royal meeting. Any easing in the ground will not hinder him and he should outrun his odds.

The lightly raced Funday ran promisingly on her handicap debut the other week.This is more competitive but she has interesting connections, should like the step up in trip and is of course open to the improvement required to figure here.

Funday NR, TMT lost - 1.5pts

Monday, 27 July 2009

1.5 pts each way MASTEROFTHEHORSE 5/1 (Ladbrokes) Betfair Gordon Stakes

Away from the glitz of Ballydoyle Masterofthehorse is going to start a couple of points longer than he should do and new connections would have to be Muppets for him to suddenly go backwards. In a race where Harbinger lacks experience and a recent run, where Firebet steps up in trip and where Urban Poet could be absolutely anything,it will be very suprising as well as disappointing if Masterofthehorse is out of the 3.

Lost - 3 pts

1pt each way BUREAUCRAT (Official SP) Detica Summer H'cap
1pt win DRILL SERGEANT ( Betfair SP) Detica Summer H'cap

Plenty fairish chances among some of the bigger prices here and Bureaucrat is worth chancing each way. He's back down to the mark that he won an Epsom handicap off last year and ran well enough at the same venue this year to indicate that the ability is still there. He may not be the most straightforward individual but this track can sometimes suit his sort and Ahern is the sort of rider who could conjure the best out of him here.

Drill Sergeant, who is ideally suited by racing right handed and who ran a cracker at this meeting last year is very much the type to put in a big performance here. He's not the best handicapped horse in training but that comment applied when he won at the Royal meeting.Of course, there is the question of the trip here but all things considered he's worth a point at the price.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 25 July 2009

3 pts win CONDUIT 2/1 (Generally available) King George Queen Elizabeth Diamond Stakes

Nothing appeals outside the front three here.Alwaary is hard to put a gauge on but even if he'd have won last time the form was a couple of steps short of this.Frozen Fire has become thoroughly disappointing, Ask is as good as he's ever been but clearly not good enough while even in the current era of non-vintage renewals of this event you need a filly or mare to be bordering on exceptional to win this and Look Here is not that. Golden Sword is the hardest to weigh up,and despite perhaps being compromised by having a part role to assist Fame and Glory last time he had everything bar Mourayan beaten out of sight behind him.Tartan Bearer has trained on well after a setback last season and will not mind the step back up in trip but Moore is likely to have picked the right one here and Conduit is given the opportunity to show just what he can do over a trip what he needs to produce his best and is priced about right.A few of the recent Leger winners have promised to buck the trend for the race and become real forces in middle distance events but have failed and though he won't get ahead of the two big 3 y-r-o's by the end of the year Conduit is a likely winner of this today.

Won + 6pts

1.5 pts each way TAZEEZ 11/2 ( William Hill) Sky Bet York Stakes

Kirklee's has come back well from Dubai but can be taken on and creates plenty of opportunities elsewhere.With Curtain Call ideally needing it soft, Tazeez appeals strongly each way.Although a Camebridgeshire winner his prominent style of racing renders him effective in this size of field.He lines up here on the back of perhaps a lifetime best and is sure to be involved.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 11 July 2009

2 pts win SEEKING THE BUCK 12/1(Generally available) 50th John Smith's Cup
1 pt win MEDICI PEARL 33/1 (Exchanges) 50th John Smith's Cup

A wide open and highly interesting renewal if not spilling over with quality and plenty of room to take at least two on board.

Ralph Beckett has proved adept at maintaining consistency with his handicappers over the past few years and Seeking The Buck arrives here in top form and off a mark only 2lb higher than when winning at Epsom two outings ago.Ground and trip are ideal, course configurations come alike, and his relatively prominent running style will mean he will be able to capitalise on his low berth.

Medici Pearl had a half sibling by Be My Chief that won over 1m6f and has prospects of staying this trip. She was staying on in a messy albeit decent race over ten furlongs at Newcastle last time and the way she was smacked of stamina worries. However, she is as good as she's ever been right now and as there is a genuine chance of her getting home, she is worth a point at the price available.

Lost - 3 pts

Friday, 3 July 2009

3 pts win HATTON FLIGHT 9.5/1(Betfair) Bet 365 Old Newton Cup

Looking through the runners for this you cannot help feeling that it is no more than an ordinary renewal. Helvelius, like a few from his yard, arrives in a big handicap on the back of a light programme. He is interesting but enough of his ilk get beat. Red Merlin seems suited to trickiesh courses, while many Cumani horses with stronger credentials than Falcativ get beaten in these events. Yes Mr President is very interesting and should be involved while his stable companion, Drill Sergeant should also run well again though the rise for his Ascot win may just find him out. However, the one that really does stand out is Hatton Flight, who prior to his unfortunate incident in the same Ascot race had been on a real roll.He had not looked as though he had stopped improving, he's effective on ground ranging from fast to good to soft and all track layouts seem to come the same to him; and most importantly of all he knows how to close out his races. The rise for his last victory may not be enough to stop him and he is worth getting stuck into right now and carries a degree of confidence

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 27 June 2009

2 pts win HIT'S ONLY VIC 12/1 (Generally available) John Smiths Northumberland Plate
1 pt win FRISTON FOREST 20/1(Betfair) John Smiths Northumberland Plate

With the ground easing, Hit's Only Vic now comes into this as a really serious contender. This gelding has been thriving of late, and when he has had the opportunity to get hos toe in his finishing positions have been 12115. On figs, he put up a lifetime best last time, and with the assistance of a decent draw, the 4lb rise may not be enough to stop him.

It takes a little faith to support any of these Godolphin horses at the moment but topweight Friston Forest ran encouragingly on his debut in this country and just beaten by subsequent Royal ascot winner Carraciola. The third and fourth, who are useful animals in their own right, were well beaten off and he is not out of it off his 108 mark. He's got plenty of soft ground form in the book from his days with Andre Fabre and is worth a point at his present odds.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 20 June 2009

1pt win EMPEROR CLAUDIUS 6/1(Generally available) Chesham Stakes
1pt win SHAKESPEAREAN 8/1(Generally available) Chesham Stakes
1pt win BIKINI BABE 10/1 (Generally available)Chesham Stakes

An interesting renewal with two from Ballydoyle and three Johnston horses. One or two of these could be really useful, or could just blow out and you'd rather not risk the place part of the stakes in those circumstances so taking the ' cop out' approach and having three on board is the best option. Though it's only early, Beethoven has been weak on the exchanges and it would now appear that out of the O'Brien pair Emperor Claudius carries more hope.Shakespearean beat a weak field nicely at Haydock and could be absolutely anything, while Bikini Babe won nicely at Sandown last week. It's too early for the form to have been tested but without checking any stats, the trainer has had plenty of successes for this owner with the runners at the big southern tracks.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win DOCTOR FREEMANTLE 1.72/1(Betfair) Hardwicke Stakes

This colt has always promised to make up into a cracking four year old and after a satisfactory debut over two furlongs shorter at Chester, this is now the time were he shows just how much he has come on. Campanologist would be a live danger if back to his best, but it's hard to have any fear of the others - though Dansant is the difficult one to assess on his return to turf.

Lost - 3 pts

2pts win JJ THE JET PLANE 2.95/1(Betfair) Golden Jubilee Stakes
1 pt win KING'S APOSTLE 9/1 (Betfair)Golden Jubilee Stakes

You like to see the international campaigners confirm their ability here before getting involved and JJ The Jet Plane has gone and done that, when probably not 100% tuned up and will surely go very close here. King's Apostle runs well over this course and distance. He made a successful transition to group company here last year, arguably ran a lifetime best last time, and seems set to give a very good account of himself.

Lost - 3 pts

1pt win EVENS AND ODDS 17.5/1(Betfair) Wokingham Stakes
1pt place only KNOT IN WOOD (Betfair place only SP) Wokingham Stakes
1pt place only ADVANCED (Betfair place only SP) Wokingham Stakes

The 9lb for the victory at Newmarket two outings ago should not be enough to prevent Evens and Odds being involved here. He looked revitalised that day and after stepping up in trip last time, returns to his optimum conditions here and lines up with as strong as prospects as most in this field. Knot In Wood is a standing dish in these sort of events but is vulnerable to the better handicapped types. However, has prospects of reaching the frame again off a 4lb higher mark. Similar marks apply to former Ayr Gold Cup winner Advanced.

Lost - 3 pts

1.5 pts win HATTON FLIGHT 7/1 (Generally available) Duke of Edinburgh Stakes
3/4 pt win 19/1 (Betfair) and 3/4 pt place only (Betfair place only market)DRILL SERGEANT Duke of Edinburgh Stakes

Hatton Flight has been holding his form remarkably well and certainly knows how to get his head infront.He's now up a further 5lb to a lifetime high of 99 but he beat a similar field containing many of these last time and is far more likely to run his race again than those that chased him home.He's already won around here though all tracks and ground conditions seem to come alike to him; and he's fairly priced to go in again and is much preferred over the plot types here. Drill Sergeant dosen't get his head infront that often but is a genuine sort and handicapped to his full ability. However, his type win in turn and he's run well each time he's been to this venue, is in top form at the moment, and should give a very good account of himself.

Drill Sergeant won + 13.8pts

1.5 pts win CARACIOLLA (Betfair SP) Queen Alexandra Stakes
1.5 pts win TASHEBA 13/2 ( 2 firms and exchanges) Queen Alexandra Stakes

Amerigo is far from convincing and splitting sakes on the two Henderson runners is the preferred option. Caraciolla retains his enthusiasm remarkably well and should confirm the recent York form with the quirky Halla San. Tasheba has been in good form over hurdles and there is every reason to believe that he will return to the level an improved performer.The trip and ground should be fine for him.

Caraciolla won (7.8/1)+ 9.7 pts

Friday, 19 June 2009

3 pts win BLACK BEAR ISLAND 3.4/1 (Betfair) Kind Edward Stakes

The jury is still out on the Dante form but it cannot be denied that on the day Black Bear Island, who'd previously ran highly encouragingly on his reappearance looked the best horse in the race and the best long term prospect. That he beat the Murtagh chosen Freemantle that day is also a plus as that rival must have been working the house down beforehand and his run yesterday should not deter from his stable companions chance here - he clearly was not the same horse. Black Bear Island himself ran too bad to be true at Epsom but can bounce back here over a trip he will relish. He's fairly priced and is one to pile into.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win GHANAATI 2.7/1(Betfair) Coronation Stakes

The value of the 1,000 GNS form was understandably questioned at the time with Fantasia avoiding the race - but viewing it all with hindsight it probably made little difference that the Cumani filly was absent and though the strength of the field was debated there seemed no fluke about this filly's success and no logical reason why she should not go on from there and be a force in these races throughout the season.The one concern coming here was the form of the Hills yard but with a winner and second at the meeting so far, that factor cannot now be viewed as a negative. The French GNS form has been advertised by the good run of the runner up since and Elusive Wave is clearly a live danger but Rainbow View is just not the filly she was and is highly unlikely to bounce back here, while the Irish 1,000 GNS was a poor renewal this year and in any case the first two home would want some give underfoot. Baliyana is the hardest to assess though a G1 place is probably what connections are expecting at the most.

won + 7.6pts

1.5pts each way INDIAN DAYS 20/1( Ladbrokes,VC,and Exchanges) Wolferton Handicap

While the front two in the market ran well at York and have fair chances there are still plenty of holes in these. Dream Lodge does not want a true run ten furlongs; same probably applies to Perfect Stride who has not lived up to expectations and you feel they are trying to find a key if it exists. Salute Him has not suddenly improved and since moving to Tony Martin has been unsuccessful on his three journeys back over here, while a strongly run 9f enables Re Barolo to run to his optimum.This leaves some of those in double figs worth considering and Indian Days makes plenty of appeal. He's been tried in G3's this year and ran really well in the Huxley at chester two outings ago.He went up 7lb after winning the valuable 3 y-r-o handicap at Goodwood last last year and has gone up again for the Chester run. However he wasen't flattered, is proven in the big field handicap scenario, and lines up here with very realistic chance.

Lost - 3 pts

1.5pts win STATELY HOME 7.8/1(Betfair) Queens Vase
1.5pts win YANKEE DOODLE 8.6/1(Betfair) Queens Vase

You go into this looking for reasons to back the Johnston runners but Sabotage, who appears to be the most fancied one, beat nothing last time and I've had my fill of letting the imagination get carried away with visually impressive winners with no substance to the form; for this week at least.His other runner, Holberg was third in the Glasgow behind then stable companion Parthenon with Stately Home just ahead. The latter displayed the head carriage trait that he'd done when making his debut but he still ran very well, has a touch of quality about him, should get this trip and has a first rate chance. In fact, it's worth splitting stakes with the other Ballydoyle runner, Yankee Doodle he finished runner up to Stately Home before chasing home another stable companion who had previously ran well behind Fame and Glory; and then losing his maiden tag when easily beating a Weld horse with the rest well beaten off. He too should find the trip within his compass.

Lost - 3 pts

3/4pt win 22/1(Betfair) and 3/4 pt place only (Betfair place only SP) HARRISON GEORGE Buckingham Palace Handicap
3/4pt win 17.5/1(Betfair) and 3/4 pt place only (Betfair place only SP) MISTER HARDY Buckingham Palace Handicap

These valuable 7f furlong handicaps here have a uniqueness about them but there's no real angle in to compile a shortlist. There are some who seem to turn up in all such races here and often run well,such as the Goldie horse; but with that animal you are trying to find reasons for him to turn the recent form around with Swift Gift and backing each way if your main hope is a place is not straight logic.The two Fahey horses appeal as much as most. The yard is upgraded and they've had a winner already at the meeting. Harrison George is a likeable individual and for one who plys his tried in these competitive races it's amazing that he'd never yet run a poor race and continues on an upward curve. He could soon be competing in G3's and although the last time he tried 7f on this ground his level of form was a stone below what he's recently been running to, the performance at the time was as good as anything he'd achieved.Stable companion Mister Hardy is also a much improved individual who has been in cracking form this season. He's proven in the big field scenario and his chance should be taken seriously.

Lost - 3 pts

Thursday, 18 June 2009

2pts win MONSIEUR CHEVALIER 1.58/1(Betfair) Norfolk Stakes
½ pt win KINGDOM OF LIGHT 29/1(Betfair)Norfolk Stakes
½ pt win NOSEDIVE 17.5/1(Betfair) Norfolk Stakes

The success of the American runners at the meeting has made Monsieur Chevalier a backable price here. They can’t surely all go zooming in but the unknown factor deters from going max in on the Hannon horse. With no room in the odds to realistically have a cover on the other horse perhaps the best option to take (apart from keeping clear of the race ) is to have small stakes on two double figure unexposed types. Kingdom of Light is from last years winning yard and the form of his Haydock victory has worked out well, while from a visual viewpoint, Nosedive looked group class when winning at Sandown last week.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win LEOCORNO 1.8/1 (Betfair) Ribblesdale Stakes

It now appears that Leocorno beat a field of utter slowcoaches at Sandown but the manner of the victory was mighty impressive and earned her single figure quotes for the Oaks. She’s instead been put away for this and is much more likely than not to get the trip, and comes from a family that tend to improve a few leagues relatively quickly. Admittedly, she’s the type who could appeal to layers at her price with so much subjectivity involved but looking at her opponents Take the Hint is very useful but unlikely to be a star, July Jasmine is the second string and it’s likely that Moore’s on the right one, the Godolphin filly has just come from Fabre and would have been more interesting if she had stayed there, while the Cecil filly could be anything and is the hardest of the opponents to weigh up. When these types get beat you look a real sucker for hype but Leocorno could be out of the top drawer and if that is the case she will bolt up.

Lost - 3 pts

¾ pt win 49/1 (Betfair) and ¾ pt place only (Betfair place only SP) HINDU KUSH Ascot Gold Cup
¾ pt win 59/1 (Betfair) and ¾ pt place only (Betfair pace only SP) WASHINGTON IRVING Ascot Gold Cup

Yeats has bounced back from poor runs before, but most have come at the end of the season and he really did run alarmingly badly last time. It was too late to switch him to dual purpose stallion duties after that run but you do wonder if they might have retired him if they could have foresaw him running so poorly. He is vulnerable here. Geordieland is certain to be in the shake up but is short enough, there are doubts whether Patkai will stay, the three Godolphin horses come with the now customary health warning, while Centennial appears to be here merely as a runner for the owner. With so many question marks hanging over these it may be worth chancing a couple of the big priced horses each way. Hindu Kush has shown himself to be as good as ever since moving to David Nicholls and while his staminia is unproven, the trip could me the making of him and he is a genuinely interesting contender. Washington Irving is likewise worth taking seriously. He has chances of getting the trip and if he has retained all of his ability, it’ll take just a couple of the shorter priced ones to run below form (a likely scenario) to put him in with a chance.

Lost - 3 pts

¾ pt each way RIVER CAPTAIN 14/1 (Ladbrokes) Britannia Stakes
¾ pt win 21/1(Betfair) and ¾ pt place only (Betfair place only SP) MIRRORED Britannia Stakes

Impossible to resist getting involved here and taking one from each side is preferable. River Captain had seemed pretty much exposed before finding a ton of improvement from nowhere to win at Epsom last time. This is a different scenario on this straight course, and over two furlongs shorter. However, he races as though he could reproduce that sort of form back in trip and he has more going for him than most here. Of the Stoute horses, Moore is on Desert Creek who is now 10lb higher than when winning at Haydock. He may be a group horse in the future but the path upwards for these types is not always without it’s blips and the stable’s other runner, Mirrored is also very interesting and three times the price, and the type to go very well here.

Mirrored placed 4.4/1 + 1 pt

¾ pt win 8.6/1 (Betfair) and ¾ pt place only ( Betfair place only SP) GLASS HARMONIUM Hampton Court Stakes
¾ pt win (Betfair win SP) and ¾ pt place only (Betfair place only SP) TOO MUCH TROUBLE Hampton Court Stakes

A fascinating race and it’s debatable whether Freemantle should be so short to confirm Dante form with Glass Harmonium and Monitor Closely. It did not look a vintage Dante with them finishing in a bunch but Black Bear Island clear ran too badly to be true at Epsom for the form to be downgraded just yet. Glass Harmonuim showed improved form from his Craven run to finish only two lengths behind Freemantle who raced from the front and there is undoubtedly more progression to come. At his odds he appeals in the hope that this stiffer track will suit him better than Ballydoyle horse who could well end up finding his niche over one mile. Too Much Trouble ran a stinker after pulling early on at Chester. He had previously been considered to be a Derby prospect by his connections and at the odds available is worth win and place support as the step down in trip should be ideal for him.

Glass Harmonium won 8.6/1W & 1.9/1 P +6.1pts

¾ pt each way 15/2 (2 firms) ZARINSKI King George Handicap
¾ pt win 14/1 (Betfair) and ¾ pt place only(Betfair place only SP) QUAI D’ ORSAY King George Handicap

It seems that Zarinski ran on the AW last time to avoid the heavy ground around at the time. Whatever, this race would have been carefully considered and as his bare form is nothing to shout off the rooftops about it means he arrives here to race off a mark of 86, has any amount of improvement in him, and should be up to giving a very good account of himself. The other one that catches the eye is Quai D’Orsay, who is a very typical likely type for Mark Johnston after winning a half decent Musselburgh race in the style of an animal on the upgrade.

Zarinski placed - 0.75 pt

Wednesday, 17 June 2009

2 pts win HEAVEN SENT 3.8/1(Betfair) Windsor Forest Stakes
1/2 pt win 49/1(Betfair) and 1/2 pt place only ( Betfair place only SP) ROSALEEN Windsor Forest Stakes

With a suspicion that the Bolger yard is perhaps not firing on all cylinders at present, Lush Lashes may be worth taking on under her G1 penalty and last years runner up Heaven Sent appeals as the likely winner. The Cheverley Park operation are the shrewdest around at mapping out the careers of their older fillies and mares and the decision to keep this twice G3 in training for another year will be justified if she can win at the next grade above. She looked as good as ever on her seasonal debut and is sure to figure. Of those at large prices Rosaleen catches the eye.There's a possibility that she may be an improved performer this year and she has a chance of making the frame at large odds.

Lost - 3 pts

1.5 pts win VISION D'ETAT 7/2(Betfair)Prince of Wales Stakes
1.5 pts win NEVER ON A SUNDAY 4.4/1(Betfair) Prince of Wales Stakes

It's nonsense to use Stoute's poor record in this event as a reason to oppose Tartan Bearer - however, in a race where the first three in the forecast all have solid claims and are hard to separate, he's perhaps shorter than he should be and the preferred option is to split stakes on both of the French challengers. Last years Prix Du Jockey Club now looks an ordinary renewal but at least the Arc, in which he finished fifth, is a true barometer of Vision D'Etat's ability. He's returned this spring looking as good as ever and in a run of the mill renewal of this race, he should go very close. Never On A Sunday's progression through the ranks saw him take his first G1 last time. In all liklehood there is further improvement remaining and he hails from the yard that is flavour of the month at the moment.

Vision D'Tat won + 3.5pts

1.5pts win CADRE 7.6/1(Betfair) Royal Hunt Cup
3/4 pts each way MIA'S BOY 14/1(Generally available) Royal Hunt Cup

Prior to his Yarmouth run Cadre had looked halfway out the door of the Gosden yard and diden't appear fancied that day but won convincingly from a good yardstick and appears to have had this as his target from that day. His last run appeared to tee him up for this and he's in the right hands for these contests and is worth backing right now as some of the market influences seem to be flagging him up and he could displace Forgotten Voice at the head of the market.Of the others, Mia's Boy who never made it here last year on account of the ground remains interesting in these events.Only road like surfaces are a deterrent to him and he'll be fine, though of course his sort are always going to be vulnerable to something favourably handicapped. It's now ten outings since he was last successful but he's as good as ever,can handle the big field scenario, and with a highly significant jockey booking will not be far away.

Mia's Boy placed 1.63/1 - 0.85 pt

3pts win DON'T TELL MARY 4.4/1(Betfair) Queen Mary Stakes

Although the Hilary Needler runner up The Hermitage was disappointing yesterday, at least the fifth horse from that race ran a cracker, something that gives some substance to the Beverley form which is all what's necessary as the winner, Don't Tell Mary looked one hell of a good filly in that race - and one that is perhaps going to last through the season and end up being a leading player in the Cheverley Park. She is difficult to overlook here and is worth getting stuck into to confirm the impression that she gave that evening.

Lost - 3 pts

Tuesday, 16 June 2009

1.5pts each way 8/1(Generally available) ALEXANDROS Queen Anne Stakes

While he's certainly improved since going to Dubai, it was only last October that Gladatorious was beaten by Scintillo at the San Siro, racing in the same style that he's been doing in Dubai and there have been many impressive performances at the Dubai festival down the years that haven't been repeated during the European turf season. Whatever, he can go unbacked. Of the other leading contenders,Paco's Boy does not have his optimum conditions while you feel that Main Aim has been supplemented as this G1 would enhance his stallion prospects more than winning the Golden Jubilee which could probably take more winning. The one that appeals at the price is Alexandros who actually has progressed under Godolphin. He ran a cracker on his reappearance, has ideal conditions,and will be racing prominently; a scenario in which Dettori is still able to excel.He'll be hard to keep out the 3.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win MASTERCRAFTSMAN 5/6(Hills and Ladbrokes) St James Palace Stakes

It's hard to be convinced by any other than this guy here and he is the one this week that is fairly priced around the even money mark.The Ballydoyle horses appeared to be needing their first runs and despite not everything acting in the conditions at the Curragh, he clearly showed that he's trained on really well and would have been a convincing winner on any surface.The return to faster conditions will not hinder - his best performance last year came in similar conditions - and it will be surprising if he can't hold Delegator.In a field were most can't be given more than half a chance Evasive would have appealed as an each way alternative if it wasen't for the genuine doubt over whether he really wants this trip.

won + 2.49pts

3/4pt each way MARSH WARBLER 20/1 (Ladbrokes and VC) Coventry Stakes
3/4pt win 29/1(Betfair) 3/4 pt place only (Betfair place only SP) XTENSION Coventry Stakes

Hannon has a line on most of the juvenile form in this country and Canford Cliffs lines up top of the pecking order. However, whether he should be as short as he is after possibly being a little flattered at Newbury is another thing and in a race full of unknowns it could be worth having moderate each way stakes on a couple of ' could be anythings'. Marsh Warbler could do no more than dispose of moderate opponents at Redcar and overlooking the concern that he may just be a convenient runner for his owner, there is no knowing the true level of his ability and he is worth chancing. The bare form of Xtension's Goodwood's victory was not much better but he won nicely and is a very interesting contender.

Xtension placed (Betfair place SP 5.8/1) + 2.1pts

3/4pt win 14.5/1(Betfair) 3/4pt place only (Betfair place only SP) LIBRATE Ascot Stakes
3/4pt win 18/1(Betfair) 3/4pt place only (Betfair place only SP) ERMINE SEA Ascot stakes

There is are many interesting contenders at decent prices to entertain the front two in single figs; especially as both would be happier on ground a bit easier.Librate is worse off with Missoula from this last year but his most recent hurdle run was more encouraging and it'll be a little surprising of he's not bang in there in the closing stages. Ermine Sea, a rare runner on the level for Henrietta Knight,has fair prospects of reversing recent course form with Judgethemoment. Third here in the Queens Vase when with Gosden, he appeals as the type who'll probably appreciate the extra half mile and looks set to give a really good account of himself.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 13 June 2009

2 pts win ACROSTIC 6/1( Ladbrokes and Exchanges) Ladbrokes.Com H'cap
1 pt win RED JADE 14/1 (Generally available) H'cap

While it's generally costly to get suckered into these eyecatching unlucky types, Acrostic genuinely is the type who'll pay to follow blindly this season and while it's pretty futile dwelling on how he would have fared if he'd have had the run of the race at Ripon,it was a highly encouraging appearance, albeit in a race not as competitive as this. With the stable in healthy form, and this lightly raced four year old being just the type that they get the most from, Acrostic stands out in a field of animals in which most are not going to progress any further. The only niggly doubt is the extra furlong.

Red Jade is another lightly raced type who catches the eye of those in double figures. He hails from a yard that has upgraded itself in the last couple of years and forgetting his recent run in the mud in Ireland, he'd run really well on his reappearance and has fairish prospects of repaying the purchase cost from the Gosden yard over the next 12 months.

Lost - 3 pts

1.5pts each way SWISS DIVA 12/1( Generally available) Reg Griffin Memorial Trophy

The form of Master of Disguise's recent victory is stonewall solid but the combination of the 11lb rise, extra furlong and current odds deter from getting stuck into him.

One that seems sure to figure prominently and is priced in double figs is Swiss Diva. The Elsworth yard has not been in the best of form but has at least had a recent winner and this filly has been running consistently well, has proven to be competitive off this mark,has conditions that she'll handle, is open to further improvement; and to top it all has Ryan Moore in the plate.

won + 22.5 pts

1 pt win DISTANT MEMORIES(Betfair SP)Daniel Prenn Royal Yorkshire Stakes
1 pt win CALL IT ON(Betfair SP)Daniel Prenn Royal Yorkshire Stakes
1 pt win RAFAAN 19/1(Betfair)Daniel Prenn Royal Yorkshire Stakes

Marching Time does not totally convince, while the Godolphin horse does not excite despite the record of the yard here. The more you delve into this you realise how wide open this is and it may be worth dividing stakes between three at decent odds. Tom Tate went close with a front runner in this last year and though Distant Memories will probably be reined in behind other front runners here he has as good as chance as most of these and should run well. Mark Tompkins's horses are usually trying for their lives here and Call It On ran encouragingly at Pontefract last time which followed on from his seasonal debut here when he ran Ok'ish despite being free.There was clearly something amiss with Rafaan last time. His victory prior to that did not tell us alot about him and it's all guesses as to the level of his ability. However, the stable is in cracking form and has won this in recent years.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts win CASTLES IN THE AIR 7/2(Betfair) Charles Henry Memorial Stakes
1pt win GREEN PARK (Betfair SP) Charles Henry Memorial Stakes

The figs suggest that Castles In The Air surpassed all he'd previously done when winning at Hamilton last time and he's clearly improved for the move to his new yard. On a question of value, it's a moot point of whether he's going to be too short, particularly with the whole world knowing that he's had this as his target since the last run. However, taking the view that he's a different proposition to what he was at this time last year he has very strong prospects of defying his new mark.Tylicki is obviously a big plus too, especially at this venue. These apprentices on a roll tend to defy logic with regard to the ratio of the jockey input and though it's all subjective and a bit gobbledygook they clearly do seem do seem to pass on their own aura of confidence to their mounts.Whatever, Castle's In the Air won't end up any longer than the 7/2 now available on the exchanges.

In contrast, the move from the Fahey yard hasn't done Green Park any harm judging by his fine run here yesterday. He has a realistic chance if turning out again here and is worth a point. Although he has done all of his winning over 5f, he's ran well before over C&D and the 6f should not be seen as a negative.

Lost - 3 pts

Thursday, 4 June 2009

1.5pts win 6.4/1 (Betfair) 1.5pts place only 1.3/1(Betfair place only market) DUNCAN Investec Coronation Cup

Despite his unquestionable talent,Youmzain does not get his head infront often enough and it's probably worth looking for something a bit longer in price. The usual cautions about older fillies apply here to Look Here, while Ask does ideally want some give. Frozen Fire is interesting at his price but the one that really catches the eye is the much improved Duncan. He has really looked something else with another winter on his back and moving to Gosden. Admittedly, this is a mighty step up in grade but the three that followed him home last time were not totally disgraced on their next outings and he could do no more than destroy them and gave the impression that he could now be top class. Arguably the most improved older horse in training this season,in the peak of form, and with the ground and track fine for him ,it'll be very disappointing if he dosen't figure and he is worth win and place support at his current price.

Lost - 3 pts

1.5pts win 6.4/1 (Betfair) 1.5pts place only 1.28/1 (Betfair place only market) PHILLIPINA Investec Oaks

It's worth launching into orbit stats about the last maiden to win the Oaks and Stoute's poor recent record in the race, because this filly lines up with a big chance and looks very likely to get herself involved. Firstly, it's very unlikely that all the first three in the market will see out the trip (though of course that equally applies to the opposite). Furthermore, the ground is a big worry for Sariska and Rainbow Views, while out of the longer priced horses who have been talked up, Oh Goodness Me is also far from certain to stay. The Cheshire Oaks looked a decent renewal this year. Without getting carried away with remotish form links, the fourth home Hidden Brief had been runner up to Star Ruby, who went and chased home Sariska in the Musidora - it does at at least does increase confidence in the value of the Chester form. The first two reoppose here and though many of these Balldoyle horses thrive on racing, the lighly raced runner up will surely turn the tables. With no issues about the ground and trip, and reports of her being in fine fettle at home,she's a confident win and place choice.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 30 May 2009

2 pts win MIA'S BOY (Betfair SP) Stakes
1/2 pt win MARINE BOY (Betfair SP) Stakes
1/2 pt win MEDICEA SIDERA (Betfair SP) Stakes

Although his regular pilot is at Haydock, there is plenty to like about the chance of Mia's Boy here. For starters there is plenty of pace in this race and he is capable of producing his best in a true run race at this trip, on this ground. On the point of the latter, he clearly does not need give to produce his best and provided it's not old fashioned firm which it won't be,he'll be fine on it. He is undoubtedly capable of being fully competitive off a 2lb higher mark than last time, Egan is an interesting booking, and is almost certainly not using this as a stepping stone to his Hunt Cup entry - that is not the way they operate with this horse.

In a fascinating contest for the money on offer,Marine Boy and Medicea Sidera are worth small stakes at bigger prices.Marine Boy is worth another chance at this trip after running well over shorter last time in a race where the form looks solid. Medicea Sidera should have come on from her Lingfield run and should outrun her price in her customary prominent role.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win FURMIGADELAGIUSTA (Betfair SP)Stowe Family Law LLP Grand Cup

Halla San and Caracciola will be more interesting in the Northumberland Plate in a few weeks time - the former is definitely better suited by the big field scenario nowadays. There are question marks over the present well being of Yellowstone, and though Si Belle is very hard to weigh up, you are continually drawn to the two at the head of the market. The Godolphin horses have been running OK'ish over the last few days and one of their most successful transfer routes are horses from the Fabre yard; where Friston Forest originates from. He looked useful in Dubai and is interesting, but when it comes to splitting them Furmigadelagusta is the preferred option. He acts perfectly well on this ground, is still progressing at five, arrives here in peak form and is sure to go very close here.


1.5pts win HAMISH MCGONAGOLL 6.6/1(Betfair) Sporting Sprint
1.5pts win INTERNATIONALDEBUT 10/1(Betfair)Sporting Sprint

3 out of the first 4 that ran in the race here on Dante day re oppose and there is every reason to trust the form.Taking form from similar races is more sensible than trying to apply conditions form - Siren's Gift heads the market on the strength of his run behind Look Busy but has yet to win a handicap in 10 attempts. With the stable in fair form at the moment and conditions and track perfect, and running off a mark that he is competitive of, it all points for a bold showing from Hamish McGonagoll. Internationaldebut has been defying his pedigree and is turning into a serious proposition in these races. There is probably further improvement left and he should go close to repeating his C&D success.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win SEEK N'DESTROY 3.6/1 (Betfair) Sporting Stakes
1pt win FEELING FAB (Betfair SP) Sporting Stakes

Although holding no fancy entries.Seek N'Destroy appeals as the most likely amongst these to progress on to a career in listed/group company.Certainly, if that is the case he should be winning this off a rating of 84. There is plenty of pace on here but it's unnecessarily confusing matters by delving into possibilities of horses taking each other out and just let the race run it's course. Feeling Fab is another who runs from the front.The drop back to seven furlongs looks ideal and he should give a very good account of himself.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 23 May 2009

1.5pts EW GAN AMHRAHS 9/1 ( 3 firms) Investec Derby

On a day when the most interesting pre-Royal Ascot 3 y-r-o handicap has been spoilt by the ground, it's perhaps the time to get stuck into the Derby. It's highly significant that Murtagh may be on Rip Van Winkle; even if he eventually opts for one of the others it's testament to how difficult the choice is and raises doubts over the form of the Derrintstown( the runner up is certainly nothing out of the ordinary), and the Dante( it may be wise just to accept the usual rule about trials were they finish in a bunch). What it clearly does do is remind everyone that this years 2,000GNS did look a well up to standard renewal. With that in mind, and the combination of the current price allied to the question mark over the staminia limitations of the likeable winner Sea the Stars and Rip Van Winkle, you cannot help but focus in on Gan Amhrahs. On pedigree he is certain to stay the trip, his class is proven, and he hails from a yard that though always having the odd top class animal down the years,seems for some reason to be performing on an entirely new level over the past two or three years. He is sure to be in the shake up and is worth each-way support right now.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 16 May 2009

1.5pts win 9/1(Betfair) and 1.5pts place only 1.88/1(Betfair place only market)VIRTUAL Juddmonte Lockinge Stakes

Apart from a blip that occurred on firm ground at the Royal meeting, Virtual has progressed from race to race and arrives here with a realistic opportunity of taking this G1 on ground that is ideal. Despite re-opposing Paco's Boy on worse terms than last time, he'll have come on for the run and the combination of ground and trip should suit him better than the Hannon horse. Aqlaam, like Paco's Boy, is perhaps going to be one of these who wants 7f to produce his optimum, while Twice Over is becoming frustrating and costly to follow. It's difficult to see Virtaul being out of the three here and splitting stakes on win and place is the sensible option.

won + 15.5pts

Thursday, 14 May 2009

1 pt win CHEVETON 7.4/1 (Betfair) Tote Super 7 Stakes
1 pt win TOURNEDOS 7.8/1 (Betfair) Tote Super 7 Stakes
1 pt win EVERYMANFORHIMSELF 7/1 (Generally available) Tote Super 7 Stakes

There's room to take three aboard here.Cheveton knows how to get his head infront, is 111151 with Crowley in the saddle,arrives here in good form, and is a must inclusion. Off only a 2lb higher mark than when winning this last year,Tournedos is the most appealing of the quartet from his yard, having returned from a lay off to show that he retains every ounce of his ability. Everymanforhimself has run well on his two previous visits to this track, has come to form, and has proven to be competitive off his current mark.

Lost - 3 pts

1.5 pts win FREEMANTLE 7.6/1(Betfair) Totesport Dante Stakes
1.5 pts win REDWOOD 9/1(Betfair)Totesport Dante Stakes

With Crowded House perhaps being shorter than he should be, Kite Wood having moved to a set up that in recent times seems to have spoilt many a promising acquisition from other yards; the two that follow in the forecast are the most interesting. Although Freemantle hails from a yard that historically does not run it's number one Epsom hope in this event,the fact that Black Bear Island is the second string after a highly promising reappearance entitles him to a hell of a lot of respect. Furthermore, for those into the ' stables having lines on that one via other runners' line of thinking, then they should have Redwood covered through Drumbeat. Nevetheless, Barry Hills colt is a highly promising individual in his own right and this race is going to map out his future. Whatever, he is surely far off from reaching his ceiling and it will be disappointing if he fails to get involved here.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts win MIA'S BOY 7/1 (Generally available) Toteswinger Hambleton Stakes
1 pt win LOVELACE 21/1 (Betfair)Toteswinger Hambleton Stakes

Mias's Boy looked likely to carve out a career for himself in Group company after showing a striking turn of pace to get out of a pocket and win this last year. That's not been the case but he is clearly the same horse as he was at this time last year, arrives here in decent form and has excellent prospects of winning this again off a 5lb higher mark. Of those in double figs Lovelace catches the eye. He returns to handicap company off a 2lb higher mark than his last handicap run, when he narrowly failed to win the Bunbury Cup and should outrun his odds.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win KAYF ARAMIS 7/2 (Betfair) stakes

With rain forecast, plus with the day 1 results appearing to indicate that horses who ideally want some ease underfoot are not having their chances not compromised, animals who ideally like some ease, there are reasons to get stuck into Kayf Aramis here. A standing dish in these events at this course, he has been a revelation since moving to Venetia Williams, and the chances are that despite being a 7 year old, he'll show further improvement back on the level. To top it up, the jockey booking maximises confidence.

won + 7pts ( deducions for Nr's)

Saturday, 9 May 2009

3/4 pt win 23/1(Betfair) and 3/4 pt place only 4.3/1 (Betfair place only market) TOSHI Toteswinger Swinton Handicap Hdle
3/4 pt win 21/1 (Betfair) and 3/4 pt place only (Betfair place only SP) JO JO STAR Toreswinger Swinton Handicap Hurdle

These races are real puzzles at this time of the year and while it's probably sensible to just let them be, your being a killjoy if you don't get involved.

Toshi has been in the form of his life in the last few weeks with two solid performances. He indicates that there is further improvement remaining, and the helter skelter pace should suit him really well as he has shown a tendency to pull. You would want him hurdling more fluently than last time but at his current odds, there are enough positives to justify supporting him. Jo Jo Star is likewise in the form of his life at the moment. A blunder ruined his chance when he was still in with a shout in the race won by Toshi at Musselburgh, and it's a little difficult to back one and leave out the other.Sharp tracks suit him ideally and he is sure to be travelling eyecatchingly at some stage during the race, and has good prospects of being involved at the business end.

Jo Jo Star won + 16.9 pts

1pt win 18/1(Betfair) and 2pts place only (7/2 Betfair place only market) WE'LL COME Totesport Victoria Cup

There may be some justification in the criticism aimed at this gelding's willingness to put everything into his races. For one with plenty of ability and hailing from a yard that tends to get the maximum from their charges, you'd have expected him to have added to his sole success which came at Yarmouth two years ago. However, in fairness to him he has been plying his trade in fiercely competitive races where the contestants win in turn and no more. He's run cracking races on two of his three visits to this track including in this event last year. He's off a handicap rating that he's proved he is competitive off, is sure to be spot on, and it'll be interesting to see if Munro can conjure a little extra from him on his first time aboard. He will surely be involved and for that reason it's sensible to have more of the stake on the place only.

Lost - 3 pts

Friday, 8 May 2009

3pts win MISTER HARDY 13/2 (Generally available) Surrenda - Link Earl Grosvenor Stakes

Three out the the five horses that Fahey has run at this meeting so far have run really well and with a fair stall position, and Tylicki on board with his claim, Mister Hardy has strong prospects of taking this. In the form of his life, and off a 3lb higher mark, his chance is also helped by the 11 berth given to Huzzah, who was the one who caught the eye in this at the five day stage.

Won + 19.5pts

3pts win LIBEL LAW 13/2 (Generally available) Addleshaw Goddard Dee Stakes

In contrast with the rest of the field, Drumbeat has clear, stonewall solid credentials in an ordinary looking renewal of this derby trial. However, at around the 6/4 mark and with some unknowns in opposition, he could be worth taking on. There's alot of guesswork involved in these situations but the one that appeals most at his odds is Libel Law as we know that Michael Jarvis would not overface and risk ruining a lucrative year handicapping for an animal without some optimism.

Lost - 3 pts

Wednesday, 6 May 2009

1.5pts win 14.5/1(Betfair) and 1.5pts place only (Betfair place only SP) TOO MUCH TROUBLE Virgin Money Chester Vase

This colt is without doubt the value bet here. Although you can't read too much into him having a future G1 winner behind him when making a winning debut at Sandown last year, he appears to be held in very high regard and has proved his well being when trotting up on his reappearance from a 90 rated horse at Catterick. He would be half his present odds if associated with a yard that regularly produces classic middle distance colts and looks sure to run really well in a field that apart from Masterofthorse, could be a bit so so. For instance, the form of Above Average's Sandown classic trial, and Debussy's Blue Riband is nothing to be too scared of, while Sight Unseen is at this stage no more than a quite promising once raced maiden winner.

Lost - 3 pts

Tuesday, 5 May 2009

1.5pts win 15.5/1(Betfair) and 1.5pts place only (Betfair place only SP) HALLA SAN Totesport Chester Cup

The sorts that have been around for a while have won their fair share of Chester Cups and on average probably represent better value than your four year olds from the jazzy yards; the category in which the first three in the market come from. Halla San showed his well being over hurdles at Ayr recently and his run last year in the Northumberland Plate showed that he has the mettle for this sort of event.Off only a two pound higher mark here he is clearly not handicapped out of it and with Hanagan back aboard, who is 122 on him, he can atone for last years disappointing run by figuring in a big way here.

Placed( Betfair place SP 5/1) + 5.7 pts