Saturday, 29 November 2008

3 pts win DUC DE REGNIERE 13/2(Betfair and Betdaq) Toteswinger Long Distance Hurdle

There is room for new faces in this sphere and this gelding, having returned to hurdles after failing to live up to expectations over fences, is one of the most interesting ones stepping onto the scene and at his present odds he is worth supporting to make the most the the weight he receives from the three ahead of him in the betting and firmly establish himself in this grade. OK, connections have stated that they will try him over fences again in the future, but that cannot be taken as a hint that they don't think he'll be up to winning races like this.He promises to stay this trip and confidence is increased when you read quotes from connections of Inglis Drever acknowledging that there is only limited mileage left in the reigning champion.

Won + 18.5pts

3pts win OEDIPE 10.5/1 (Betfair and Betdaq) Hennessy Gold Cup

Nearly two years down the line from when he exploded on the scene looking to have unlimited potential when winning a Kempton handicap, Oedipe is still something of an enigma. Off the track for over a year, he again looked an animal that could be absolutely anything when winning at Aintree on his second outing after the comeback.Of course, just because he is the most difficult contender to put a mark is not suffice alone to jump in on him, but he does have plenty going for him. This race is often won by something that travels well on the pace and that is what he'll be doing. And even those of us who are not swayed by the profile angle cannot fail to notice that this is a trends race and there is plenty going for him in that quarter. The yard's horses are in the best of health at the moment and he can be guaranteed to line up fully primed. Apart from a concern that the ground may become too testing, he's full of positives and is worth getting stuck into.

Lost - 3 pts

Sunday, 23 November 2008

3 pts win NEVERTIKA 14/1( Betfair) Toteswinger H'cap Hdle

This likeable individual's chasing career appeared to be going upwards fast until he encountered a couple of reversals. When returned to fences he should be able to pick up the pieces and make into a quality handicapper. In the meantime he is of considerable interest here because unless the unexposed Knockavilla is many pounds better than his current mark, this will not take too much winning considering the fair pot on offer.Nevertika was a regular in the fixed brush events at Haydock and lines up here off the same mark when running close in one of those races over a year and a half ago.Ok,there has to be some doubts for him to be the price he is. He was well beaten here on his reappearance here, and there is also the feeling that with a return to fences being imminent, he may still be a little off peak. However, this is a nice prize to pick up, connections will not have any big long term handicap hurdles in mind and will not be worried about ruining his mark, the softening ground will not inconvenience unlike some of his rivals, and the stables runners seems to have run as well as could be expected during the last couple of weeks.Definitely worth taking a chance and getting stuck into.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts win SOUTHERN VIC 19/1 ( Betdaq and Betfair) Totesport Becher Chase
1 pt win OULART 31/1 ( Betfair) Totesport Becher Chase

Plenty of these merit serious consideration and there is plenty to look for away from those at the front end of the market. It was not long ago that people were discussing Southern Vic as a possible Sun Alliance horse. His form then levelled out showing him to be below the top class, and he then had a setback and has not had alot of racing in the past couple of years. He's had two hurdle races this Autumn, showing nothing in the first, then showing enough in a classy event to suggest that he probably retains most of his ability. This race has no doubt been a target since the summer, the ground will suit, and though he has yet to convince that he will stay forever connections seem to think is a true out and out stayer, and this 3m 2f should be within his compass.

Oulart looked as though this trip would be within his range when runner up in the Kerry National but has ran disappointingly since. He is not the most consistent of animals around and has a poor 1 from 23 strike rate over fences. Nevertheless, what is not in doubt that he does have the ability to win off this sort of mark and he is worth moderate stakes in the hope that these unique fences may just put some spark into him.

Lost - 3 pts

Friday, 21 November 2008

3 pts win GUNNER JACK 9.5/1 ( Exchanges) Betfair Fixed Brush H'cap Hdle

This gelding has a few valuable events in him if staying sound - his trainer is on record as saying he has suffered from back problems. He was narrowly beaten by Ballyfitz over the conventional hurdles here last February prior to being pulled up behind that animal at the festival when seemingly lining up with a realistic chance. Now that there are genuine excuses for that performance, he has to be of interest after his recent pipe opener and arriving here on a mark that is fair, particularly considering how well many of the Gunner B's have progressed down the years.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts win GOLD MEDALLIST 8/1(Generally available) Timeform Betfair Club H'cap Chase
1 pt win MON MOME 20/1 (Generally available) Timeform Betfair Club H'cap

Gold Medallist seems to have appeared in all shapes and forms and when you take into consideration that he was sidelined for two and a half years at one point, it's amazing to think that he's is still only eight. What is not in doubt is that he still retains plenty of ability and remains very much unexposed in this sphere. In a race full of if's and but's, he appeals most, and though stacking up trainer talks comes with a wealth warning, it surely must be a positive that Hobbs believes he is going to be most effective when fresh and was planning to have him fully firing for his reappearance.

Mon Mome also makes his seasonal reappearance - but all of his victories have come on the back of a recent run. However, at his price you can ditch the trends. The horses from his yard are running really well at the moment, he lines up against a field full of animals with niggling question marks hanging over them, and although for a horse of his ability his career strike rate is poor and you would not want the ground turning good, there are pieces of form that put him in with a serious chance and he is worth small stakes.

Lost - 3 pts

Sunday, 16 November 2008

2 pts win SQUADRON 8/1 (3 firms & 8.2/2 on exchanges) Greatwood Handicap Hdle
1 pt win PIGEON ISLAND 16/1 ( 2 firms and exchanges) Greatwood Handcap Hdle

Unless you are already on Aigle D'Or earlier in the week it's probably best to look for a couple to field against him. Though there was evidently a legitimate excuse for Rippling Ring's poor Aintree performance, it is a little worrying that the blinkers are applied at such an early stage and the consistent and progressive Squadron makes more appeal.Apart from his run in the Fred Winter he as done little wrong over hurdles, is in the top of his form with the promise of further improvement to come, is a previous winner at this venue and will not mind the underfoot conditions.

Pigeon Island seems to turn up everywhere but is just the type to surprise. There is no knowing how the form of this race will work out over the course of the season but it's very unlikely that it will work out as well as last years race where he finished close to a couple of championship class horses .Admittedly, since winning on his following outing at Haydock his other victories have come in non-handicaps and despite running well in the Tote Gold Trophy, he has looked as though handicapper has him. However, you can pick holes in plenty of these and if a couple of others ahead of him in the market don't perform to expectations, he is one who could benefit from the situation.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 15 November 2008

2 pts win WEST END ROCKER 4/1 ( Betdaq and Betfair) Sir Tristam Rickets Novices Chase
1 pt win GONE TO LUNCH 5/1 ( Exchanges and Ladbrokes) Sir Tristam Rickets Novices Chase

West End Rocker has to be supported from a value perspective. Both he and and Big Fella Thanks line up with similar chances, will both appreciate the softer ground, and there was nothing between them at Chepstow.There is no logical factor that justifies a two point gap that currently separates them on the exchanges. Both yards, like now, were in top form at the time of the Chepstow race and there is no reason why one should come on notably more for the race than the other.

Gone To Lunch ran well at both of the big festivals and put up a pleasing performance last time when caught by a talented rival at Exeter. The level of that form is on par with the Chepstow race that the two market leaders ran in and this gelding, who will probably end up a regular in the marathon races, is worth back up support as there is no reason why he shouldn't run up to a similar mark again.

WER Lost GTL NR - 2pts

Thursday, 13 November 2008

1.5 pts win DON'T PUSH IT 12.5/1 (Betfair) Paddy Power Gold Cup
1.5 pts win MALJIMAR 15.5/1 (Betfair) Paddy Power Gold Cup

It may be worth playing in this now as these two have live chances and are almost certain to start shorter on the day than their current exchange odds.

Don't Push It had been targeted at the race he ran it at the festival and was very disappointing; looking in trouble when coming down. However, the possibility remains that he could be well in off his present rating as going into last season he looked as though he could progress into the 160's. Perhaps it's tempting to put too much emphasis on how well he was traveling in his Arkle when coming down but there is no doubt that if he had stood up he would not lining up here off his present mark. Admittedly, the setbacks may have taken their toll and he may never reach the level that he once promised, but there are not many miles on the clock and he is at least worth another chance on a track that he acts on, on ground that will suit, and where he will surely line up in top shape.

Maljimar has put up a couple of visually impressive performances in his career but has also run one or two disappointing races. Nevertheless, he is useful at this venue and has looked as though he has one of these big races in him. He will have to prove whether he can be competitive off this sort of mark but the way he won here in January the hike looked justified. Ok, those type of performances are sometimes better than they look with opponents running well below their best, the runner up that day went and gave Gungadu a race the following week. Though prone to making the odd error, he invariably runs well fresh, and arrives here with fair claims and is hard to overlook at his present exchange odds.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 8 November 2008

1 pt win NIGHT CRESCENDO 18/1 (Betfair and Betdaq) Totescoop6 November H'cap
1 pt win MULL OF DUBAI 20/1 ( Betfair and Betdaq) Totescopp 6 November H'cap
1 pt win AJAAN 25/1 ( Betfair and Betdaq)Totescoop 6 November H'cap

There's room to take aboard three here. Night Crescendo has picked up the wining habit lately and ran a good race in a much hotter renewal of this even last year. The plan had been to have more than a point on him but the prospect of desperate ground does temper enthusiasm. He ran appallingly in heavy ground at York in the summer and connections have also expressed concern over the ground becoming worse. Mull Of Dubai may not be the young, highly progressive sort that we like to have on side in these events but in an ordinary renewal he is fully effective at this trip on testing ground, and that is more important than nitpicking over him being a few pounds too high in the handicap. Ajaan has bags of talent and was cruising turning into the straight in the Queen Alexandra before his lack of staminia got him. He arrives fresh after a couple of poor performances and is worth a point.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win RING THE BOSS 5/2 ( Exchanges, Ladbrokes, Paddy Power) Tote Ten to Follow Rising Stars Chase

This is the most fascinating race of the day and Ring The Boss is terrific value at the current odds available to take this. He progressed fast through the hurdle ranks last season,and defeated Breedsbreeze in a valuable handicap at Sandown. He made an impression when narrowly beaten in a hot race on his chasing debut at Warwick; but the chasing career was then aborted to retain his novice status for this season. He made a satisfactory winning appearance over fences at Cheltenham and although Breedsbreeze also looked the real deal on his chasing debut, the Nicholls factor has forced him to be shorter than he should be.

Lost - 3 pts