Sunday, 28 September 2008

1.5pts win EDGE CLOSER 9/1 (Generally available) John Guest Diadem Stakes
1.5pts win ASSERTIVE 10/1 (Generally available) John Guest Diadem Stakes

Both of the Hannon horses hold strong claims here and it might be best to split stakes on the pair.

For one who has been plying his trade in between sprint handicaps and listed events, Edge Closer has an impressive strike rate and he is already showing the same level of ability as his sire. Apart from that blip in the Wokingham (which is covered by a legitimate excuse), he runs consistently well, is probably still going forward, and has ideal conditions for him to throw in an optimum performance today.

Assertive is by the same sire and he too has a similar level of ability. A repeat of his Duke Of York form, and that of his latest Doncaster race, would be suffice to see him going very close here and although they seem to be switching around head gear to keep him interested, there are far more less consistent individuals in this sphere and he is not one to dismiss lightly.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 27 September 2008

2 pts win ZAAHID 13/1 (Betfair and Betdaq) Totesport Challenge Cup
1 pt win MILITARY CROSS 16/1 ( Ladbrokes)Totesport Challenge Cup

Zaahid arrives here on the back of a break following two below par efforts. With a good chance that he'll be back in form here, he has realistic prospects of following up his Victoria Cup success off a 5lb higher mark. There should be further improvement left in him, he handles big fields, the yard is in fairish form, and overall he has more general appeal than those around him in the market.

It's hard to believe that Military Cross has only had three runs since disappointing after being strongly supported in the market for last seasons Hunt Cup. He's still something of an enigma and has clearly been hard to train but is clearly capable of taking one of these races, and his run when chasing home talented Stage Gift at Epsom in 2006, proves that he can handle the rough and tumble of this sort of event.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts win FANTASIA 7.2/1 ( Betfair and Betdaq) Meon Valley Stud Fillies Mile
1 pt win GOLDEN STREAM 10/1 (Betfair and Betdaq) Meon Valley Stud Fillies Mile

These visually fantastic performances are rarely as good as they actually seem and while Rainbow View is the one to beat, her winning superiority on her last two starts has been helped by the ground and against a couple of highly promising individuals in their own right, she's worth taking on at her restricted odds.

Fantasia is held by by the Gosden horse on formlines but there is surely a hell of a lot more to come and at a time of the season many horses are losing their edge, she looks ready for this step up in grade here,is as promising a long term prospect as the favourite, appeals as the type who will run to her present ceiling,and is sure to give a very good account of herself.

The evidence from her only run so far indicated that there is a good chance that Golden Stream possesses similar ability to her classy but quirky sister Flight Of Fancy; and if that is the case, she'll be a prominent player in the big fillies middle distance events next season and justifies her inclusion on everyone's 2009 Oaks short list. Admittedly, the facts right now are that she's a won a maiden in eyecatching style where the form has worked out fairishly - no more. But in a market built around Rainbow View, she is worth a point at her present odds.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 20 September 2008

2 pts win ASK THE BUTLER 4.4/1 (Betfair and Betdaq) John Smith's H'cap Stakes
1 pts MONTE ALTO 11/1 (Ladbrokes) John Smith's H'cap

Rose Street seems priced up on potential and current stable form. In the context of this event she has not exactly beat the cream of the handicapping divisions last time and at slightly shorter odds Ask The Butler is a far more attractive proposition. He beat a returned to form quality sort last time, with three talented sorts filling the next three places who all appeared to run near to their best.The form is absolutely stonewall solid, he's still improving, is officially well in, and it's one of those situations where it may not pay to try and be cute and find reasons to cross him out.

Stable companion Monte Alto has been costly to follow since winning this event last year. Frustratingly though, he keeps showing signs that all the ability is there despite clearly being an awkward individual. Whatever, he does have a realistic chance of winning this and at his present odds is worth a point.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 13 September 2008

2 pts win AFRICAN ROSE 7/2 ( Generally available) Ladbroke Sprint Cup
1 pt win ASTRONOMER ROYAL 16/1 ( Generally available) Ladbroke Sprint Cup

African Rose gave the impression that she would still have finished ahead of todays rivals in the Maurice de Gheest had the race been over todays shorter trip and there is no reason why at only a couple of points longer you would take the costly to follow US Ranger, and Uptmost Respect to reverse the form. The form of the race appears stonewall solid, the filly is on the upgrade, is from the in fashion yard for this sort of race, and is surely the one to beat.

Of those that finished behind her Astronomer Royal is big enough to be worth a point. The ground does not appear to be a barrier for him - in fact the drop back in trip and this surface makes him one of the most interesting candidates here and his claims are as strong as most of those shorter than him in the market.The jockey arrangements are not off putting as he has had his best moment under regular rider O'Donoghue, and Murtagh has in fact never partnered him.

African Rose won + 5.1 pts

3 pts win DOCTOR FREMANTLE 7/1 (Generally available) Ladbrokes St Leger

The front two in the market are beatable here and with Alessandra Volta not being the most pleasing sort, Top Loch needing to find improvement, and Unsung Heroine being worryingly short on experience for this sort of event, you keep returning to Doctor Fremantle. The Stoute colt, who has looked an obvious type for this from the day he won the Chester Vase, looks sure to give a very good account of himself today. Since the Chester run ( which has worked out fairish if not brilliantly), he has run two solid races in the best middle distance company of his age group and there is every reason to believe that we have yet to see the best of him. He should be fully effective over this longer trip and the fact that Moore has chosen him over his stable companion increases confidence in his current well being.

Lost - 3 pts