Thursday, 31 July 2008

1.5 pts win DUBAI'S TOUCH 10/1 (Generally available) Totesport Mile
1.5 pts win FIFTEEN LOVE 13/2(Betfair)Totesport Mile

This year's event has a more hollowish feel to it than is usually the case and the more you delve into it,the more you feel that the winner will come from the front end of the market. A few of these ran in that red hot Sandown handicap won by Lovelace and of those that re oppose Dubai's Touch and Fifteen Love are the one's that appeal most.

Dubai's Touch has plenty going for him with his suitable draw, ground conditions to suit,winning track form, and hailing from a yard that is in peak form at present.It's probably best to overlook his last run and racing off the same mark as at Sandown, it will surprising if he fails to put in a bold showing.

Fifteen Love has proven his worth in this sort of big field event when winning at the Royal meeting prior to finishing one place behind Dubai's Touch at Sandown. There should certainly be further improvement to come from him, and he hails from last year's winning yard, and one that has a long successful track record in these sort of events.He'll have to race more prominently than he's done recently to make use of his rail berth and will certainly not want to be dropped out - however, if you were forced to nominate one who will go on to much better things than this then he'd be at worst in the top three of the list.

Fifteen Love won + 7pts

3 pts win VISIT 2.9/1 (Betfair) Oak Tree Stakes

This filly went into last year's Lowther looking a justly 1,000 GNS favourite, and while at the time her defeat was disappointing, subsequent events have shown the worth of that form. The disappointment was more defined in the Cheverley Park but after long absence she has made a highly promising reappearance and is worth one more chance to show that she has a realistic chance of fulfilling her initial promise.

won + 7.5pts

Wednesday, 30 July 2008

2 pts win INDIAN DAYS 16/1 (Betfair) Marjorie and Bernard Benham Stakes
1 pt win DRILL SERGEANT 41/1 (Betfair) Marjorie and Bernard Benham Stakes

The name changes but the race is still traditionally one of the most interesting three year old handicaps in the calendar and this renewal looks up to standard -though the possibility of a couple of the interesting one's being withdrawn would take something away from it and mess up the markets a bit.

Indian Days appeals very much as one who will run really well at a decent price. After chasing home the high class Collection at York, he's performed well in all outings since and looks to have a valuable handicap in him. Munro got on well with him when riding him for the first time last time out and retains the mount,the return to a fast surface will not be a hindrance, the stable's runners are are going well at present - all in all he is hard to resist at his present odds.

Drill Sergeant could be ideally better drawn but he is the value amongst the Johnston
runners. His best run of his career so far at the Royal meeting indicated that his trainer would be likely to get one of these races out of him. Savarian gave some credence to the form of the race today and while a few have come out and disappointed there was every reason at the time to believe that it would work out as you'd expect a competitive Royal Ascot handicap full of progressive types to, and it would not be surprising if either of these two advertised the merit of the race here.OK, he was disappointing last time but the yard's runners consistently bounce back to form on the back of a bad run and the booking of Egan, who has a fair record for the yard,is interesting.

Indian Days won + 21 pts

Tuesday, 29 July 2008

2 pts win COLONY 4.2/1(Betfair and Betdaq) Sir Peter O'Sullivan Voice of Racing Stakes
1 pt win MY AUNT FANNY 19/1 ( Betfair and Betdaq) Sir Peter O'Sullivan Voice of Racing Stakes

After what seemed a slightly disappointing effort at Newbury, Colony got back on track when upped to this trip at Royal Ascot and as obvious as it may seem he really does look a horse who is going places and can confirm the form with the Cumani runner up on worse terms. Admittedly,the form of the race could have worked out better and it probably will do over the next few weeks - but he's impossible to get away from here and will surely be involved in a big way.Of the longer priced contenders My Aunt Fanny has run well here before ascending on a fast upward curve.She should be fully effective over this longer trip,and is definitely worth a point at her present odds.

Lost - 3 pts

Monday, 28 July 2008

2pts win CARAVEL 5/1 (Generally available) Bank of Scotland Stakes
1pt win PROPONENT 8.4/1( Betfair) Bank of Scotland Stakes

Caravel has risen rapidly up through the ratings and in a race where most of his opponents give the impression that they have now hit their ceiling, he is the one that you'd least of all want to stake against that there is further improvement left and looks the one to be on.In light of how many from his yard go off a shade shorter than perhaps they should be - and there have been quite a few at unrealistic restrictive odds in this type of competitive event over the years, his present price seems fairish. His draw is ideal for his racing style and he must be supported here.

Considering that he was thought of as a Derby horse by his connections at one stage, it was a little surprising that Proponent failed to stay 12f at Royal Ascot last time.He'd given the impression on his previous outing that he might at last make up into something half useful and reverting back in trip here he's worth back up support.

Lost - 3 pts

1.5 pts win ARABIAN GLEAM 10/1 (Betfair) Betfair Cup
1.5 pts win PACO BOY 9/1 (Betfair) Betfair Cup

Arabian Gleam reverts to 7f after a couple of runs in G1 events over a furlong further. Both of those events were tactical affairs and it's hard to know for sure whether he was flattered in any way by his eyecatching effort in the Lockinge. However, there is still time for him to develop into a genuine G1 performer and at his present odds he is the value call in what is a wide open affair.

The predicted rainfall will assist Paco Boy who was withdrawn from his Royal Ascot engagement when looking one of the most interesting contenders.He seems an uncomplicated sort with a useful turn of foot, and one who could still be a step better than his bare rating. He is clearly better than one of those that Hannon has purposely primed to win a Group race classic trial against less fit opponents and will be an interesting sort to follow for the remainder of the season.

Paco Boy won + 11.5 pts

Saturday, 26 July 2008

3 pts win BOUCHERON 6.2/1 (Betfair) Skybet Stakes

It's often dangerous to get suckered into these wide margin winners but Boucheron is hard to resist and would be two or three points shorter if she was the Stoute or Gosden representative here. The mark that she's been given is a guess as there wasen't a real yardstick to use in the Pontefract race, particularly with the Stoute horse clearly running below the form of her previous race - however her pedigree shouts that there is plenty more to come and she is worth taking aboard here.Crystal Capella did not need to improve to beat an ordinary stable companion of Boucheron last time and it may be that she is flattered by the form of her previous race as the two that sandwiched her stepped up on that form next time. The bare form of Caprivi's last race is nothing special and Suzi's Decision is perhaps the one to fear most.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts win MY GACHO 14/1 (Betfair) Skybet Dash
1 pt STEVIE GEE 20/1 (Betfair) Skybet Dash

Provided his chance is not compromised by his draw,My Gacho has prospects of following up his Leicester success and is worth chancing at his present odds.Admittedly,he's been around for a while, has never won in such competitive company as this,and does not have a profile suggesting that there's more to come - however his type win these sort of events as much as the lightly raced could be anything types,and having beaten a couple of in form horses convincingly, he strikes you as the type who could have taken on a new lease of life for his new yard. With the ground having turned against Kaldoun Kingdom, and putting an extra emphasis on pace that may not suit Harrison George, and with Express Wish priced up on the basis that he's a few pond better than his present rating, Stevie Gee appeals as the value alternative in the hope that his draw does not work against him. Six furlongs on a fast surface appears to suit him ideally and with McEvoy booked he's worth a point at his odds.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 19 July 2008

3 pts win SPANISH MOON 4/1 ( Generally available) David Wilson Homes Steventon Stakes

Despite the interest surrounding Bankable in this race, the fact remains that if there is a genuine G1 animal lining up here, then it can only be the Stoute colt. He created a visual impression that he was potentially much better than the very useful bare form when winning at Ascot on his reappearance. He blew completely out at the same venue next time, running too badly to be true, and was withdrawn the other week after giving trouble. However, had he come through the Hardwicke test the likelehood was that he would have been lining up in the King George next week, and it is arguably encouraging that he reappears so quick after his no race the other week. The chances are his problems have been worked on with a degree of success in recent days and he's worth getting stuck into at fairish odds.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts win WILLIAM BUTLER 9/2 (Generally available)Toteswinger Summer Plate
1 pt win SEYMOUR WELD 12/1 (Ladbrokes and Betfair) Toteswinger Summer Plate

William Butler arrives here hiked up in the ratings against notably stronger opposition (though it would be unfair to judge his opponents last time on the ability of the long priced runner up) but there are reasons for siding with him. Firstly, Evan Williams is not adverse for tapping into his animals and getting them soaring up through the handicap - the prime example being State of Play who improved in the region of three stone and ended up wining the Hennessey.Secondly,when you delve into this event it is not quite as a competitive as first seems.Iron Man came into this last year on the back of a victory but lines up here with question marks dangling over him, while the 2006 winner Yes Sir was on a five timer when lining up here and the only encouragement that can be gleaned about his presence here is the jockey booking and recent run on the level, which indicate that he may have been laid out for this. For back up purposes it may be worth siding with Seymour Weld who looks to have improved by a couple of levels recently and who beat a useful sort last time.

Lost - 3 pts

Sunday, 13 July 2008

2 pts win MAD ABOUT YOU 5.2/1(Betfair) Darley Irish Oaks
1 pt win CHINESE WHITE 13/1 (Betfair) Darley Irish Oaks

The Epsom Oaks was quite an unsatisfactory affair and Moonstone may have been flattered by her finishing position, though the fact that Murtagh has chosen her ahead of Gagnoa, who ran in what looked a hot renewal of the French Oaks, and where that impression is already starting to be confirmed, she must be feared. However, she's a still a maiden and is a couple of points shorter than she should be, and Mad About You makes more appeal.She acquitted herself well against a fast improving older filly last time, after being narrowly beaten in the Irish I,000GNS. She has strong prospects of staying this trip and Smullen picks her ahead of her stable companion, Chinese White, who was one of those who ran herself into the ground at Epsom.It's interesting that she is kept at this trip and she herself is worth a point.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 12 July 2008

1.5 pts win SPINNING 6.6/1 (Betfair) John Smith’s Fence Gate Inn Stakes
1.5pts win SWOP Betfair SP John Smith’s Fence Gate Inn Stakes

Spinning is in the form of his life at the moment and has a realistic chance of defying another rise in the ratings. Though it’s a guess just how bad the ground will be he has as much chance of handling it as any of his rivals, and as they could go faster than they should in the ground, he’ll be picking them off up the straight.

Swop as any amount of improvement in him and the form of his Doncaster race has been working out nicely. Though ultimately there is no knowing if he’ll handle the ground, plenty of the Shinko Forests handle soft conditions, so there is hope as if it’s a quagmire many of the proven soft ground performers are themselves not certain to handle it.

Swop Nr,Spinning Lost - 1.5pts

2 pts win KALDOUN KINGDOM 7.2/1 ( Betfair)John Smith’s Extra Cold Stakes
1 pt win ISHETOO 11/1 (Betfair) John Smith’s Extra Cold Stakes

Kaldoun Kingdom will have to improve on his most recent form to win this but everything seems set up here for him to run to his optimum. He is still open to plenty of improvement and appeals as one who would pay to follow blindly on good or soft ground over the next 12 months or so. It will be surprising if he doesn’t figure here.

Ishetoo was a shade disappointing at Newcastle last time but has proven heavy ground form on this track, still has an overall progressive profile, and is an attractive proposition at his present odds – particularly when in the likely conditions the matter of being on the wrong side of the handicapper is less important than other factors.

Lost - 3 pts

2pts win MONTE ALTO 9.5/1 (Betfair) John Smith’s Cup
1 pt win FLYING CLARETS 18.5/1(Betfair) John Smith’s Cup

Enough of these Danehill Dancers handle soft conditions to make Monte Alto worth chancing. Despite being a shade disappointing at the Royal meeting it’s hard to believe that his career has already peaked and there is still time for him to make his mark in Group class. It is possible to find believable excuses for all three defeats since his Newbury success and is the most interesting contender in this field.

On the face of it Flying Clarets has it all to do. She was beaten in a weaker running of this last year, is much worse off with the animal that beat her, and looks handicapped to the hilt. However, that’s only half the story. She comes into this a much improved mare who has justified her hike in the ratings, Charlie Tokyo has not made similar progress, and she is most importantly fully proven in extremely testing conditions; that fact being twice as important than handicapping considerations. She should run well again.

Flying Clarets won + 14 pts

2 pts win GULL WING Betfair SP John Smith’s Extra Smooth Silver Cup
1pt win YELLOWSTONE Betfair SP John Smith’s Extra Smooth Cup

This likeable filly proved that she’s come on again from three to four when making a winning reappearance at Nottingham. She’s fully proven in testing conditions, and is the one in the field that you would rely on most to run her race. Sure to give a very good account of herself.

Yellowstone has been very highly tried since leaving Ballydoyle. Nevertheless, the indications are that he retains all of his ability, and as he has prospects of handling this ground, is worth a point at his odds in this sort of grade

Yellowstone won(13.32/1) + 11 pts