Monday, 16 April 2007

3 pts ERZGEBIRGE AUE -0 Asian handicap 1.68/1 ( Betfair) v Carl Zeiss Jena Bundesliga 2

There are a few angles that can be taken into this match. Firstly, Aue, the visitors here have one of the worst away records in Bundesliga 2, winning only three of their fourteen matches on the road. Amazingly, they have been so strong at home that it's only their last two matches that have put them out of contention for a promotion place. You could argue that they have little to play for against a team struggling against relegation, and who play under their new manager for the first time tonight.However, the oddsmakers seem to have overeacted to the situation, and Aue are worth support on the Asians to make their class tell with the DNB proviso. Jena have only won five from fourteen at home, have key players doubtful through injury, and were thrashed 5-1 when the teams met in November. The highlight of Aue's away performances came with a victory at KSC and they also managed to give Freiburg a fright in December. I'm taking the motivation factors out of the equation and plumping for the better side at overpriced odds.

CZ Jena 2 Aue 1 - 3pts