Saturday, 14 April 2007

1 pt win BUSTER HYVONEN 13.5/1 ( Betfair) John Smith's Handicap Hurdle
1 pt win JUBILANT NOTE 17.5/1 ( Betfair) John Smith's Handicap Hurdle
1 pt win AMEEQ 15/1 ( Betfair) John Smith's Handicap Hurdle

Fanshawe has had an impressive record down the years with the few runners he keeps for the winter game and this lightly raced animal could follow up the stable's success here yesterday. He had a genuine excuse for his below par effort last time, and had previously looked a possible contender for one of the Cheltenham novice hurdles. The underfoot conditions should assist here.

Jubilant Note has clearly been laid out for this. He gives the impression that there is plenty more to come and has had a recent sharpener on the flat to put him right. Murphy will have him on the heels of the leading group and it will be disappointing if he is not involved in the shake up today.

Ameeq hails from an in form yard that excels in this sort of race. He's still only had six races over hurdles and it goes without saying that there still should be plenty of improvement left in him. Conditions will be to his liking here.

Lost - 3pts

2 pts win ALBERTA'S RUN 9/2 ( Generally available) John Smith's Extra Cold Handicap Hurdle
1 pt win GIDDAM GIDDAM 14.5/1 ( Betfair) John Smith's Extra Cold Handicap Hurdle

All of Alberta's Run's winning form has come on a soft surface. However, not all of these Accordian's need the ground soft and this progressive and likeable individual will go close to maintaining his winning sequence here over a trip which could even bring out further improvement.

There have been a few John Mackie horses over the past couple of decades that have improved considerably and kept ahead of the handicapper. Giddam Giddam put up a career best last time out and will give another good account of himself in conditions that will not prove a hindrance. Definitely the value call of the race.

Alberta's Run Won + 8 pts

2 pts win BOB HALL 7/2 ( Generally available) John Smith's Novices Handicap Chase
1 pt win BOLD FIRE 21/1 ( Betfair) John Smith's Novices Handicap Chase

Bob Hall can turnaround the Cheltenham form with L'Antartique. He probably has more improvement left in him than the winner, will appreciate the drying ground more, and has the services of J T McNamara in contrast to the cumbersome 10 footer who teams up with the Ferdie Murphy horse.

Bold Fire was cruising all over her rivals at Newbury until her staminia gave away. Perhaps we are starting to run out of excuses for her, but she still remains of interest and is certainly worth another chance here.

Bold Fire NR, Bob Hall Lost - 2pts

2 pts win AUX LE BAHN 7/1 ( Betfair) John Smith's Champion Bumper
1 pt win LODGE LANE 9.5/1 ( Betfair) John Smith's Champion Bumper

Noel Chance went close to pulling off a long term plan with Distant Thunder at Cheltenham, and this race would have been in the trainer's mind for Aux Le Bahn for some time now. Chance went close to taking this event with Mendo a couple of years back - he was ahead with half a furlong to run and was just run out of it close home. We can trust that this animal will be up to this sort of class and he cannot go unsupported.

Lodge Lane is the only member of the field who ran in the Cheltenham bumper. He ruined his chance by hanging badly around the final bend. Putting temperament problems aside, he was in the process of running a big race then and in what is a weaker contest here, must enter calculations.

Race Abandoned