Sunday, 4 March 2007

3 pts OVER 2.5 GOALS 0.95/1 ( Betfair) SC Freiburg v MSV Duisburg Bundesliga 2

A fascinating puzzle to try and solve. Duisburg dominated against Hansa on Monday night. After going one nil ahead, they conceded with a deflection off the wall from a free kick, then had three goals disallowed for offside - one of them being a dubious decision. As seems to be the norm when luck deserts you, Hansa scored a late winner on the counter. Duisburg then had Lavric dismissed, and he'll be missing today. Nevertheless, they have the best away record in Bundesliga 2, losing only one on the road. Freiburg themselves are playing out of their skin at the moment, winning six out of their last seven. They still have an outside chancing of getting into the promotion race. A hard match to call, but I confidently expect that there will be plenty of goals. Both are attacking sides ( the messy televised affair when Freiburg played Furth is not typical of their play); Freiburgs last five home matches have all been over 2.5, Duisburg have been over on three of their last five away games.

Freiburg 2 MSV 1 +2.85 pts

3pts TSV MUNICH 1860 - 1 Asian Handicap 0.83/1 ( Betfair) v Eintrach Braunchweig Bundesliga 2

An ideal situation to use the Asians here. 1860 are a good bullying side and tend to punish the lesser lights in this division, as most of the teams low down in this division have found to their cost. They do however struggle against the more competitive teams( their comprehensive victory over the useful Aue, being an exception to this). The visitors haven't yet won on their travels this season and will find themselves overpowered by the home side today, who are 7 from 11 at home, and it will be the surprise of the day if the bottom side take away anything here.

TSV 2 EB 0 +2.49 pts