Tuesday, 13 March 2007

2 pts win HIDE THE EVIDENCE 8.6/1 ( Betfair) Supreme Novices Hurdle
1 pt win TYSON 15/1 (Betfair) Supreme Novices Hurdle

Does not appeal as a vintage renewal of this contest.Amaretto makes the market and is worth taking on. It's very difficult to put a mark on her Haydock performance and I'd rather be on Hide The Evidence, who appeals as a hardy, top class novice, who should settle better here.

Tyson, a high class fast ground performer on the level in South Africa, visually impressed when successful in the mud at Haydock. He could be anything and is worth becoming involved in at present odds.

Lost - 3 pts

3pts win FAIR ALONG 7/2 ( Ladbrokes & Paddy Power) Arkle Chase

My Way De Solzen is following the presently fashionable path to next years Gold Cup via this race. It's a moot point whether or not the Sun Alliance does shackle the progress of potential Gold Cup horses - but the fact remains that he's got it all to do to reverse tables on Fair Along, who sets the standard here. Hobbs's horse is the best two mile novice chaser around at the moment and will take a great deal of beating here, whether or not he attempts to make all or allows Lennon to go on. I'm trusting Johnson to get this right.

Ante-Post selection Buena Vista should acquit himself well - though ideally would have liked the ground a little faster.

Lost - 3pts

2 pts win BRAVE INCA 5/1 ( Betfair) Champion Hurdle

Takes his racing incredibly well. I don't subscribe to the theory that he gave the impression that he's had enough when beaten by his foe at Leopardstown last time. As we all know, there's little between these two and it's futile trying to pinpoint reasons why the results of the head to heads vary from race to race. Is sure to figure in the shake up again and represents terrific value at current odds on the exchanges.

Ante-Post selection Asian Maze remains an interesting contender. Admittedly, rarely does a horse win this race on the back of the type of performance she put in last time - even if it was just a warm up in the extreme sense - but if she'd not lined up at Aintree last spring, Hardy Eustace would have ran out a convincing winner and no one would have questioned whether he'd ran to form or not.

Lost - 2 pts

1 pt win JUVEIGNEUR 7.4/1 ( Betfair) William Hill Handicap Chase
1pt win LACDOUDAL 22/1 ( Betfair) William Hill Handicap Chase
1pt win HEEZ A DREAMER 25/1 ( Betfair) William Hill Handicap Chase

Commercial Flyer is the fly in the ointment here. At one stage in the King George he looked as if he was going to be involved in a big way and gave the impression that's there's a valuable prize awaiting when he's right. However, how many chances do you give these frustrating sorts ?

Juveigneur loves it here and will surely give an excellent account of himself again. Lacdoudal may not have the ideal profile for this race but people were saying the same thing before he won the Betfred. Heeez A Dreamer is a lightly raced progressive type with more to come and takes the eye at present odds.

Lost - 3 pts

1pt win LE DUC 11/1( Paddy Power) Cross Country Chase
1pt win L'AVENTURE 20/1 ( Ladbrokes) Cross Country Chase

Both of thses animals have acquitted themselves well over this course. The conditions are ideal for L'Aventure, and if she consents to chase down the leading pack at an early enough stage she could well be bang there at the finish. Le Duc's career has taken a path that could not have been imagined when he was a quirky but classy juvenile hurdler. It's hard to believe he's still only seven. While it's impossible to predict how long he'll go on for, he still posseses plenty of ability and is worth support step up on his creditable debut over this unique course.

Lost - 2 pts

1.5pt win GASPARA 4.1/1 ( Betfair) Fred Winter Juvenile Handicap Hurdle
1.5pt win POUVOIR 11/2 ( Ladbrokes) Fred Winter Juvenile Handicap Hurdle

These front two look really solid here, and while Pancake is a likeable type , I doubt whether Pouvoir would have been over sixteen lengths behind Katchit if they'd have met this term. Pouvoir would have been interesting had he lined up in the Triumph. He's no doubt been plotted out for this and cannot go unsupported. Gaspara clearly has a major claim to this under her penalty. She'll struggle in the future when the handicapper get's hold of her, but as of now she will take all the beating here.

Gaspara Won + 4.65 pts