Saturday, 17 February 2007

1 pt win THE OUTLIER 8/1( Betfair) Red Square Vodka Chase
1 pt win L' AVENTURE 19/1 ( Betfair) Red Square Vodka Chase

A progressive Roselier, and in the form of his life, The Outlier has not been unreasonably treated by the 8lb rise for his course win last time. Of course it's possible to go through that race with a fine tooth combe and justify why everything else ran below form - but that's the nature of these races, and you'll probably find looking back at today's race that only a couple will run to their best. The extra distance should not pose any problems and there seems to be a rapport building up between the horse and his 3lb claiming rider.

L'Aventure has a completely opposite profile. Unreliable and out of form, but giving the impression that she retains most of her old ability, she has dropped down to her lowest handicap mark for ages. While this is of little help if she's not on a going day, the mare is worth risking at the price in the hope that she'll put up an improved show.

Lost - 2pts

1 pt win ABRAGANTE 7/1 ( Betfair) Pertemps Handicap Hurdle
1 pt win MONOLITH 8/1 (Betfair) Pertemps handicap Hurdle

Some interesting contenders here. Hautclan has a valuable prize in him somewhere and could be one to bear in mind for Cheltenham. In the circumstances it's probably worth siding with a couple of in form contenders. Abragante has been switching back and forth between hurdles and fences, and there is further improvement from him in both spheres. Difficult to see him not being involved at ther business end here. Monolith ran an eyecatching race in this last year when his rider was suspended for making insufficient effort. He was returning from a similar few month break then - but coming here on the back of a victory he will be up for this today, and like Abragante, it will be surprising if he's not involved.

Lost - 2pts